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Serie B

Referee: I Pezzuto

Genoa

S U T S U

3–0

Full-time

Spal

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 34%

48%

20%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

32%

36%

Both score Ø 46%

40%

52%

Average goals

1,9

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

20 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 2. · Spal 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	26	17	4	5	+25	55
2	Genoa	25	12	8	5	+9	44
3	Bari	26	11	10	5	+16	43
4	Reggina	26	13	3	10	+10	42
5	Sudtirol	26	10	11	5	+1	41
6	Pisa	26	9	11	6	+11	38
7	Parma	26	10	7	9	+4	37
8	Cagliari	26	9	10	7	+2	37
9	Palermo	26	9	9	8	-2	36
10	Modena	26	10	5	11	+2	35
11	Ternana	26	9	7	10	-7	34
12	Cittadella	26	8	9	9	-8	33
13	Ascoli	25	8	8	9	-2	32
14	Como	26	7	10	9	-4	31
15	Perugia	26	8	5	13	-3	29
16	Venezia	26	7	8	11	-5	29
17	Benevento	25	6	8	11	-6	26
18	Spal	25	5	10	10	-4	25
19	Brescia	26	6	7	13	-18	25
20	Cosenza	26	5	8	13	-21	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	13	10	2	1	+17	32
2	Cagliari	13	8	3	2	+6	27
3	Reggina	13	7	2	4	+9	23
4	Parma	13	7	1	5	+6	22
5	Palermo	13	6	4	3	+4	22
6	Ternana	13	6	4	3	+3	22
7	Pisa	13	6	3	4	+8	21
8	Genoa	12	5	6	1	+6	21
9	Sudtirol	14	4	8	2	+1	20
10	Modena	12	5	4	3	+7	19
11	Como	13	5	4	4	+3	19
12	Bari	13	4	6	3	+7	18
13	Perugia	12	5	3	4	+3	18
14	Cosenza	13	4	5	4	+0	17
15	Cittadella	12	4	5	3	-1	17
16	Brescia	14	4	4	6	-4	16
17	Spal	13	3	4	6	+0	13
18	Ascoli	12	3	4	5	-3	13
19	Venezia	14	3	4	7	-6	13
20	Benevento	13	3	3	7	-6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	13	7	4	2	+9	25
2	Frosinone	13	7	2	4	+8	23
3	Genoa	13	7	2	4	+3	23
4	Sudtirol	12	6	3	3	+0	21
5	Ascoli	13	5	4	4	+1	19
6	Reggina	13	6	1	6	+1	19
7	Pisa	13	3	8	2	+3	17
8	Venezia	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Modena	14	5	1	8	-5	16
10	Cittadella	14	4	4	6	-7	16
11	Parma	13	3	6	4	-2	15
12	Benevento	12	3	5	4	+0	14
13	Palermo	13	3	5	5	-6	14
14	Spal	12	2	6	4	-4	12
15	Como	13	2	6	5	-7	12
16	Ternana	13	3	3	7	-10	12
17	Perugia	14	3	2	9	-6	11
18	Cagliari	13	1	7	5	-4	10
19	Brescia	12	2	3	7	-14	9
20	Cosenza	13	1	3	9	-21	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.