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Serie B

Referee: M Marcenaro

Ternana

T S U U T

1–2

Full-time

Cittadella

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 32%

36%

28%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

52%

36%

Both score Ø 40%

44%

36%

Average goals

2,2

2,1

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

10 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ternana 11. · Cittadella 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	26	17	4	5	+25	55
2	Genoa	25	12	8	5	+9	44
3	Bari	25	10	10	5	+14	40
4	Sudtirol	25	10	10	5	+1	40
5	Reggina	25	12	3	10	+9	39
6	Pisa	26	9	11	6	+11	38
7	Parma	26	10	7	9	+4	37
8	Cagliari	25	9	9	7	+2	36
9	Modena	25	10	5	10	+3	35
10	Palermo	25	9	8	8	-2	35
11	Ternana	25	9	7	9	-6	34
12	Ascoli	25	8	8	9	-2	32
13	Cittadella	25	7	9	9	-9	30
14	Perugia	26	8	5	13	-3	29
15	Venezia	25	7	7	11	-5	28
16	Como	25	6	10	9	-8	28
17	Benevento	25	6	8	11	-6	26
18	Spal	25	5	10	10	-4	25
19	Brescia	25	6	7	12	-16	25
20	Cosenza	25	5	8	12	-17	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	13	10	2	1	+17	32
2	Cagliari	13	8	3	2	+6	27
3	Parma	13	7	1	5	+6	22
4	Palermo	13	6	4	3	+4	22
5	Ternana	12	6	4	2	+4	22
6	Pisa	13	6	3	4	+8	21
7	Genoa	12	5	6	1	+6	21
8	Reggina	12	6	2	4	+8	20
9	Modena	12	5	4	3	+7	19
10	Sudtirol	13	4	7	2	+1	19
11	Bari	13	4	6	3	+7	18
12	Perugia	12	5	3	4	+3	18
13	Cosenza	13	4	5	4	+0	17
14	Cittadella	12	4	5	3	-1	17
15	Como	12	4	4	4	-1	16
16	Brescia	13	4	4	5	-2	16
17	Spal	13	3	4	6	+0	13
18	Ascoli	12	3	4	5	-3	13
19	Venezia	13	3	3	7	-6	12
20	Benevento	13	3	3	7	-6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	13	7	2	4	+8	23
2	Genoa	13	7	2	4	+3	23
3	Bari	12	6	4	2	+7	22
4	Sudtirol	12	6	3	3	+0	21
5	Ascoli	13	5	4	4	+1	19
6	Reggina	13	6	1	6	+1	19
7	Pisa	13	3	8	2	+3	17
8	Venezia	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Modena	13	5	1	7	-4	16
10	Parma	13	3	6	4	-2	15
11	Benevento	12	3	5	4	+0	14
12	Palermo	12	3	4	5	-6	13
13	Cittadella	13	3	4	6	-8	13
14	Spal	12	2	6	4	-4	12
15	Como	13	2	6	5	-7	12
16	Ternana	13	3	3	7	-10	12
17	Perugia	14	3	2	9	-6	11
18	Cagliari	12	1	6	5	-4	9
19	Brescia	12	2	3	7	-14	9
20	Cosenza	12	1	3	8	-17	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.