Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Empoli
|
30 | 15 | 14 | 1 | +29 | 59 |
| 2 |
Lecce
|
31 | 14 | 13 | 4 | +24 | 55 |
| 3 |
Monza
|
31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | +14 | 51 |
| 4 |
Salernitana
|
31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | +3 | 51 |
| 5 |
Venezia
|
31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +10 | 49 |
| 6 |
Spal
|
31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | +3 | 46 |
| 7 |
Cittadella
|
31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +11 | 45 |
| 8 |
Chievo
|
31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | +9 | 45 |
| 9 |
Brescia
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | +2 | 42 |
| 10 |
Vicenza
|
31 | 9 | 14 | 8 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |
Pisa
|
30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 |
Reggina
|
31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -3 | 40 |
| 13 |
Frosinone
|
31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | -8 | 39 |
| 14 |
Cremonese
|
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -1 | 36 |
| 15 | Pordenone | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | -3 | 34 |
| 16 |
Cosenza
|
31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 |
Reggiana
|
31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 30 |
| 18 |
Ascoli
|
31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 28 |
| 19 |
Pescara
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -23 | 26 |
| 20 |
Virtus Entella
|
31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -23 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Brescia
Empoli
Pescara
Monza
Chievo
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.