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Serie B

Ascoli

S T S S

3–0

Full-time

Spezia

S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

8 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 1

2 Corners 7

11 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ascoli 3. · Spezia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Virtus Entella	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Ascoli	4	3	0	1	+7	9
4	Salernitana	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Pisa	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Perugia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Empoli	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Pescara	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Pordenone	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Chievo	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Crotone	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Spezia	4	1	1	2	+1	4
14	Venezia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Frosinone	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Livorno	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Cittadella	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Cosenza	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Juve Stabia	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Trapani	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Benevento	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Pordenone	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Empoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Virtus Entella	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Pescara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Perugia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Livorno	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Cittadella	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Chievo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Crotone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Cosenza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Trapani	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Juve Stabia	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Benevento	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Perugia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Spezia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Chievo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Crotone	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Pescara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Juve Stabia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Pordenone	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Livorno	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Trapani	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Cittadella	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.