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Ligue 2

Referee: T Bouille

Le Mans

S U T U T

1–0

Full-time

Bastia

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,7

Scored

2,7

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,5

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Le Mans 12. · Bastia 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Reims	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Nancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Dunkerque	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Clermont	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Guingamp	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Grenoble	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Red Star	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Annecy	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Rodez	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Boulogne	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Annecy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Le Mans	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nancy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Grenoble	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Boulogne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.