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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Grenoble
S T S U S
1–1
Full-time
Guingamp
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grenoble Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 48%
43%
52%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
52%
61%
Both score Ø 39%
39%
39%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
9 Shots 24
7 Shots on target 10
0 Blocked shots 4
9 Goalkeeper saves 6
1 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grenoble 8. · Guingamp 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 23 15 4 4 +19 49
2 Metz 23 12 8 3 +21 44
3 Paris FC 23 13 4 6 +14 43
4 Dunkerque 23 13 3 7 +8 42
5 Annecy 23 11 6 6 +3 39
6 Guingamp 23 12 2 9 +10 38
7 Laval 23 9 7 7 +7 34
8 Grenoble 23 10 4 9 +2 34
9 Bastia 23 6 13 4 +6 31
10 Pau FC 23 7 8 8 -6 29
11 Amiens 23 9 2 12 -11 29
12 Troyes 23 8 3 12 -1 27
13 Ajaccio 23 8 3 12 -9 27
14 Rodez 23 7 5 11 +0 26
15 Red Star 23 7 5 11 -15 26
16 Clermont 23 6 7 10 -7 25
17 Martigues 23 5 3 15 -25 18
18 Caen 23 4 3 16 -16 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grenoble Guingamp
1–0 J. Benet
Y. Diaby
33′
Half-time 1–1
48′
A. Hemia 1–1
H. Picard
60′
🔁 D. Ourega
↦ L. Vallier
60′
🔁 T. Luvambo
↦ L. Phiri
60′
🔁 J. Siwe
↦ B. Labeau
Gaëtan Paquiez 🟨
63′
A. Jabbari 🔁
↦ Y. Diaby
70′
A. Kérouédan 🔁
↦ J. Olaïtan
70′
72′
🟨 Dylan Louiserre
S. Touray 🔁
↦ D. Rigo
77′
78′
🔁 Junior Armando Mendes
↦ R. Ghrieb
E. Sylvestre 🔁
↦ T. Valls
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Grenoble

5-3-2
13 M. Diop G
17 S. Delos D
29 G. Paquiez D
24 L. Mouyokolo D
21 A. Tchaptchet D
27 M. Xantippe D
25 T. Valls M
8 J. Benet M
6 D. Rigo M
7 Y. Diaby F
28 J. Olaïtan F
Bench (7)
38 A. Jabbari
9 A. Kérouédan
70 S. Touray
10 E. Sylvestre
77 A. Mendy
4 M. Diarra
16 B. Allain

Coach: F. Rizzetto

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
18 S. Nair D
6 L. Vallier D
21 R. Ghrieb M
5 L. Phiri M
4 D. Louiserre M
10 H. Picard M
9 B. Labeau F
13 A. Hemia F
Bench (7)
31 D. Ourega
23 T. Luvambo
17 J. Siwe
29 Junior Armando Mendes
26 M. Riou
19 S. Guendouz
30 B. Niasse

Coach: S. Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,02
U ✓
3,11
B
2,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.