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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Bastia
T U U S U
1–0
Full-time
Red Star
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
30%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
35%
52%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
1 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 9. · Red Star 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 23 15 4 4 +19 49
2 Metz 23 12 8 3 +21 44
3 Paris FC 23 13 4 6 +14 43
4 Dunkerque 23 13 3 7 +8 42
5 Annecy 23 11 6 6 +3 39
6 Guingamp 23 12 2 9 +10 38
7 Laval 23 9 7 7 +7 34
8 Grenoble 23 10 4 9 +2 34
9 Bastia 23 6 13 4 +6 31
10 Pau FC 23 7 8 8 -6 29
11 Amiens 23 9 2 12 -11 29
12 Troyes 23 8 3 12 -1 27
13 Ajaccio 23 8 3 12 -9 27
14 Rodez 23 7 5 11 +0 26
15 Red Star 23 7 5 11 -15 26
16 Clermont 23 6 7 10 -7 25
17 Martigues 23 5 3 15 -25 18
18 Caen 23 4 3 16 -16 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Dec -24 Red Star – Bastia 0–0

Match report

Bastia Red Star
Christ Inao Oulaï 🟨
7′
23′
🔁 S. Renel
↦ B. Danger
36′
🟨 Ryad Hachem
Half-time 0–0
L. Tramoni 🔁
↦ A. Aiki
46′
Amine Boutrah 🟨
48′
Johny Placide 🟨
50′
60′
🔁 A. Fall
↦ A. Badji
60′
🔁 F. Dembi
↦ J. Escartin
J. Maggiotti 🔁
↦ M. Blé
62′
1–0 J. Sebas
L. Tramoni
68′
72′
🔁 K. Cissé
↦ H. Benali
72′
🔁 D. Durand
↦ F. Dembi
L. Etoga 🔁
↦ C. Inao Oulaï
80′
L. Cissé 🔁
↦ J. Sebas
84′
Florian Bohnert 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bastia

4-2-3-1
30 J. Placide G
15 F. Bohnert D
28 G. Akueson D
4 A. Roncaglia D
17 Z. Ariss D
13 T. Ducrocq M
2 C. Inao Oulaï M
22 J. Sebas M
10 A. Boutrah M
19 A. Aiki M
33 M. Blé F
Bench (7)
27 L. Tramoni
5 J. Maggiotti
14 L. Etoga
11 L. Cissé
23 J. Fabri
3 J. Guevara
6 D. Guidi

Coach: B. Tavenot

Red Star

3-4-2-1
40 R. Risser G
20 D. Durivaux D
24 P. Lemonnier D
28 L. Kouagba D
13 F. Doucouré M
27 B. Danger M
5 J. Escartin M
98 R. Hachem M
10 M. Ifnaoui F
29 H. Benali F
21 A. Badji F
Bench (6)
97 S. Renel
9 A. Fall
26 F. Dembi
11 K. Cissé
7 D. Durand
50 V. Rabouille

Coach: G. Poirier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
3,47
B
4,72
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.