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Ligue 2
Referee: J Brisard
Rodez
T U S U T
2–1
Full-time
Troyes
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 32%
29%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
59%
Both score Ø 42%
65%
18%
Average goals
3,4
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rodez 14. · Troyes 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 17 10 3 4 +13 33
2 Dunkerque 17 10 2 5 +5 32
3 Paris FC 17 9 4 4 +10 31
4 Metz 17 8 6 3 +11 30
5 Annecy 17 8 6 3 +6 30
6 Laval 17 8 4 5 +10 28
7 Guingamp 17 8 2 7 +4 26
8 Pau FC 17 6 5 6 -1 23
9 Amiens 17 7 2 8 -4 23
10 Bastia 17 4 10 3 +1 22
11 Grenoble 17 6 3 8 -1 21
12 Troyes 17 6 3 8 -1 21
13 Red Star 17 6 3 8 -10 21
14 Rodez 17 5 5 7 +1 20
15 Clermont 17 5 5 7 -4 20
16 Caen 17 4 3 10 -7 15
17 Ajaccio 17 4 3 10 -8 15
18 Martigues 17 3 3 11 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Troyes
Eric Vandenabeele 🟥
11′
1–0 T. Nkada
S. Mambo
17′
30′
🟨 Michel Diaz
Half-time 1–0
Lionel M'Pasi 🟨
48′
Loni Quenabio 🟨
49′
49′
R. Ripart 1–1
63′
🔁 P. Ba
↦ R. Ripart
D. Mazou-Sacko 🔁
↦ I. Baldé
65′
74′
🟨 Ismaël Boura
75′
🔁 K. Dong
↦ A. Kanté
75′
🔁 M. Adeline
↦ C. Irié
76′
🟨 Ismaël Boura
76′
🟥 Ismaël Boura
79′
🔁 P. Gozzi
↦ M. Diop
79′
🔁 J. Assoumou
↦ R. Saïd
A. Abdallah 🔁
↦ N. Galves
83′
89′
🟨 Pape Ibnou Ba
92′
🟨 Houboulang Mendes
2–1 T. Nkada
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
16 L. Mpasi G
25 N. Galves D
24 L. Laurent D
2 É. Vandenabeele D
4 S. Mambo D
11 M. Bouchouari D
8 W. Younoussa M
5 N. Cadiou M
10 W. Taïbi M
9 T. Nkada F
18 I. Baldé F
Bench (7)
19 D. Mazou-Sacko
28 A. Abdallah
17 A. Pelon
1 S. Cibois
26 Y. Verdier
22 T. Bentayeb
33 M. Corredor

Coach: D. Santini

Troyes

4-1-4-1
16 N. Lemaître G
17 Houboulang Mendes D
6 A. Monfray D
4 J. Diaz D
14 I. Boura D
42 A. Kanté M
21 C. Irié M
8 M. Diop M
10 Y. M'Changama M
11 R. Saïd M
20 R. Ripart F
Bench (7)
25 P. Ba
27 K. Dong
24 M. Adeline
23 P. Gozzi
15 J. Assoumou
1 Z. Boucher
7 X. Chavalerin

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
U
3,39
B
2,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.