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Ligue 2
Referee: A Taleb
Caen
T S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Annecy
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Annecy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 36%
42%
30%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Corners 0
5 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Caen 8. · Annecy 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 33 17 10 6 +25 61
2 Angers 33 17 7 9 +13 58
3 St Etienne 33 17 6 10 +15 57
4 Paris FC 33 14 10 9 +7 52
5 Rodez 33 13 11 9 +9 50
6 Pau FC 33 13 11 9 +7 50
7 Laval 33 13 10 10 -1 49
8 Caen 33 14 6 13 +2 48
9 Guingamp 33 12 11 10 +6 47
10 Grenoble 33 11 12 10 +3 45
11 Ajaccio 33 12 9 12 -3 45
12 Amiens 33 10 14 9 -3 44
13 Bastia 33 12 8 13 -5 44
14 Bordeaux 33 11 9 13 -6 42
15 Dunkerque 33 11 8 14 -13 41
16 Annecy 33 10 9 14 -2 39
17 Troyes 33 8 11 14 -8 35
18 Concarneau 33 9 8 16 -13 35
19 Quevilly Rouen 33 6 15 12 -3 33
20 Valenciennes 33 2 11 20 -30 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Annecy
Didí Gaucho 🟨
14′
1–0 A. Abdi
R. Thomas
19′
27′
🟨 Yohan Demoncy
27′
🟥 Vincent Pajot
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Billemaz
↦ N. Kandil
Q. Daubin 🔁
↦ D. Debohi
60′
G. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ A. Salama
64′
67′
🔁 A. Larose
↦ Y. Demoncy
68′
🔁 Y. Barry
↦ K. Djoco
72′
A. Larose 1–1
F. Lajugie
2–1 R. Thomas
78′
M. Le Bihan 🔁
↦ T. Gomis
79′
H. Mbock 🔁
↦ N. Lebreton
79′
B. Brahimi 🔁
↦ M. Autret
79′
81′
🔁 S. Ntamack Ndimba
↦ O. Camara
86′
🔁 T. Delphis
↦ K. Mouanga
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Caen

4-4-2
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
61 B. Traoré D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
7 T. Gomis M
97 D. Debohi
20 N. Lebreton M
15 A. Salama M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
23 M. Autret F
Bench (7)
6 Q. Daubin
17 G. Kyeremeh
11 M. Le Bihan
18 H. Mbock
21 B. Brahimi
16 Y. Clémentia
5 S. Ben Youssef

Coach: N. Seube

Annecy

4-2-3-1
1 F. Escales G
6 F. Lajugie D
14 K. Mouanga D
2 H. Soukouna D
13 G. Jean D
5 A. Kashi M
17 V. Pajot M
18 N. Kandil M
25 Y. Demoncy M
27 O. Camara M
7 K. Djoco F
Bench (7)
22 C. Billemaz
28 A. Larose
20 Y. Barry
19 S. Ntamack Ndimba
41 T. Delphis
12 K. Testud
16 T. Callens

Coach: L. Guyot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
U
3,17
B
3,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Taleb · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.