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Ligue 2
Referee: A Souifi
Caen
S S T T S
0–1
Full-time
Bordeaux
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
50%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 6. · Bordeaux 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 30 16 10 4 +26 58
2 St Etienne 31 16 6 9 +16 54
3 Angers 30 16 5 9 +12 53
4 Laval 30 13 9 8 +5 48
5 Rodez 30 12 10 8 +8 46
6 Caen 30 13 6 11 +3 45
7 Guingamp 30 11 10 9 +6 43
8 Paris FC 30 11 10 9 +4 43
9 Pau FC 30 11 10 9 +1 43
10 Amiens 30 10 12 8 -2 42
11 Grenoble 30 10 11 9 +3 41
12 Bordeaux 30 10 9 11 -5 39
13 Ajaccio 30 10 8 12 -6 38
14 Bastia 30 10 7 13 -7 37
15 Dunkerque 30 10 7 13 -13 37
16 Troyes 30 8 11 11 -4 35
17 Annecy 30 8 9 13 -5 33
18 Concarneau 31 9 6 16 -13 33
19 Quevilly Rouen 30 5 13 12 -4 28
20 Valenciennes 30 2 11 17 -25 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Bordeaux
20′
Pedro Díaz 0–1
Z. Davitashvili
Noe Lebreton 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Alexi Pitu
Daylam Meddah 🟨
65′
M. Autret 🔁
↦ D. Meddah
68′
68′
🔁 J. Vetro
↦ J. Livolant
68′
🔁 Z. Vipotnik
↦ A. Pitu
73′
🔁 C. Michelin
↦ M. Bokélé
A. Salama 🔁
↦ M. Le Bihan
76′
D. Debohi 🔁
↦ Q. Daubin
76′
H. Mbock 🔁
↦ N. Lebreton
76′
A. Coeff 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
88′
88′
🔁 I. Sissokho
↦ Pedro Díaz
88′
🔁 M. Angély
↦ J. Marcelin
95′
🟨 Issouf Sissokho
Anthony Mandrea 🟨
98′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Caen

3-4-1-2
1 A. Mandréa G
61 B. Traoré D
29 R. Thomas D
27 D. Meddah D
4 V. Henry M
6 Q. Daubin M
20 N. Lebreton M
2 A. Abdi M
21 B. Brahimi F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
11 M. Le Bihan F
Bench (7)
23 M. Autret
15 A. Salama
97 D. Debohi
18 H. Mbock
92 A. Coeff
5 S. Ben Youssef
16 Y. Clémentia

Coach: N. Seube

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 K. Johnsson G
4 M. Bokélé D
24 J. Marcelin D
5 Y. Barbet D
19 J. Ekomié D
20 Pedro Díaz M
6 D. Ihnatenko M
10 G. Weissbeck M
30 Z. Davitashvili F
7 J. Livolant F
11 A. Pitu F
Bench (7)
47 J. Vetro
9 Z. Vipotnik
34 C. Michelin
8 I. Sissokho
35 M. Angély
33 J. Grillot
13 R. Strączek

Coach: Albert Riera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,32
U
3,25
B ✓
3,01
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Souifi · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.