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Ligue 2
Referee: J Brisard
St Etienne
S S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Bordeaux
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
34%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
34%
47%
Both score Ø 39%
28%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
24 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 3. · Bordeaux 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 33 17 10 6 +25 61
2 Angers 32 16 7 9 +12 55
3 St Etienne 32 16 6 10 +14 54
4 Rodez 33 13 11 9 +9 50
5 Paris FC 32 13 10 9 +6 49
6 Laval 32 13 10 9 +2 49
7 Caen 32 14 6 12 +3 48
8 Guingamp 32 12 11 9 +7 47
9 Pau FC 32 12 11 9 +4 47
10 Amiens 32 10 14 8 -2 44
11 Grenoble 32 10 12 10 +2 42
12 Ajaccio 32 11 9 12 -4 42
13 Bordeaux 32 11 9 12 -5 42
14 Bastia 32 11 8 13 -6 41
15 Annecy 32 10 9 13 -1 39
16 Dunkerque 32 10 8 14 -14 38
17 Troyes 32 8 11 13 -7 35
18 Concarneau 32 9 7 16 -13 34
19 Quevilly Rouen 32 6 14 12 -3 32
20 Valenciennes 32 2 11 19 -29 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Bordeaux
Thomas Monconduit 🟨
18′
33′
🟨 Danylo Ignatenko
42′
Pedro Díaz 0–1
Z. Davitashvili
Half-time 0–1
Mickael Nade 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 A. Pitu
↦ J. Livolant
M. Bentayg 🔁
↦ L. Pétrot
67′
I. Wadji 🔁
↦ N. Mbuku
67′
Mickael Nade 🟨
73′
Aimen Moueffek 🟨
73′
Mickael Nade 🟥
73′
73′
🟨 Zuriko Davitashvili
74′
🟨 Vital Nsimba
F. Tardieu 🔁
↦ M. Cafaro
82′
B. Bouchouari 🔁
↦ A. Moueffek
82′
83′
🟨 Alexi Pitu
83′
🔁 I. Sissokho
↦ Z. Davitashvili
Anthony Briançon 🟨
85′
1–1 I. Cardona
T. Monconduit
91′
92′
🔁 J. Marcelin
↦ C. Michelin
92′
🔁 J. Ekomié
↦ V. NSimba
2–1 I. Cardona
94′
D. Batubinsika 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
27 Y. Maçon D
23 A. Briançon D
3 M. Nadé D
19 L. Pétrot D
7 T. Monconduit M
29 A. Moueffek M
10 N. Mbuku M
14 D. Chambost M
18 M. Cafaro M
11 I. Cardona F
Bench (7)
13 M. Bentayg
25 I. Wadji
5 F. Tardieu
6 B. Bouchouari
21 D. Batubinsika
42 E. Green
26 L. Fomba

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 K. Johnsson G
34 C. Michelin D
4 M. Bokélé D
5 Y. Barbet D
14 V. N'Simba D
20 Pedro Díaz M
6 D. Ihnatenko M
10 G. Weissbeck M
7 J. Livolant F
9 Z. Vipotnik F
30 Z. Davitashvili F
Bench (7)
11 A. Pitu
8 I. Sissokho
24 J. Marcelin
19 J. Ekomié
33 M. Angély
72 Y. Cassubie
13 R. Strączek

Coach: Albert Riera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,70
U
3,84
B
4,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.