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Ligue 2
Referee: S Frappart
St Etienne
S S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Amiens
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 26/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
35%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
54%
36%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
48%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 10. · Amiens 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 26 15 10 1 +25 55
2 Bordeaux 27 13 8 6 +15 47
3 Sochaux 27 13 7 7 +20 46
4 Metz 26 12 8 6 +16 44
5 Bastia 26 12 5 9 +1 41
6 Caen 26 10 10 6 +5 40
7 Quevilly Rouen 26 10 9 7 +4 39
8 Grenoble 26 10 8 8 +3 38
9 Amiens 25 10 6 9 +0 36
10 St Etienne 26 9 7 10 -2 34
11 Guingamp 26 9 7 10 -3 34
12 Annecy 26 8 8 10 -3 32
13 Valenciennes 26 7 11 8 -5 32
14 Paris FC 25 8 7 10 -4 31
15 Laval 26 9 4 13 -8 31
16 Pau FC 26 6 9 11 -11 27
17 Dijon 26 6 8 12 -7 26
18 Rodez 26 5 10 11 -11 25
19 Nimes 26 6 5 15 -16 23
20 Niort 26 6 5 15 -19 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Amiens
29′
🟨 Mamadou Fofana
Half-time 0–1
57′
I. Gomis 0–1
S. Ring
V. Lobry 🔁
↦ L. Fomba
61′
B. Bouchouari 🔁
↦ K. Bamba
61′
Jean-Philippe Krasso 🟨
68′
M. Cafaro 🔁
↦ D. Appiah
68′
73′
🔁 M. Lachuer
↦ Mamadou Fofana II
1–1 N. Nkounkou
76′
81′
🔁 H. Bandé
↦ I. Gomis
82′
🔁 G. Ilenikhena
↦ A. Chibozo
Mathieu Cafaro 🟨
84′
D. Chambost 🔁
↦ I. Wadji
88′
Thomas Monconduit 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 A. Barry
↦ P. Cissé
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Etienne

3-5-2
30 G. Larsonneur G
4 S. Sow D
23 A. Briançon D
19 L. Pétrot D
8 D. Appiah M
26 L. Fomba M
7 T. Monconduit M
11 K. Bamba M
27 N. Nkounkou M
17 J. Krasso F
25 I. Wadji F
Bench (7)
22 V. Lobry
6 B. Bouchouari
18 M. Cafaro
14 D. Chambost
3 M. Nadé
5 J. Giraudon
1 M. Dreyer

Coach: L. Batlles

Amiens

4-1-4-1
1 R. Gurtner G
5 F. Mendy D
4 N. Opoku D
2 Mamadou Fofana I D
3 S. Ring D
25 O. Gene M
17 I. Gomis M
10 A. Chibozo M
6 Mamadou Fofana II M
7 A. Léautey M
18 P. Cissé F
Bench (7)
20 M. Lachuer
11 H. Bandé
46 G. Ilenikhena
23 A. Barry
15 Y. Assogba
16 P. Charruau
43 I. Fofana

Coach: P. Hinschberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,87
U ✓
3,58
B
3,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.