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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Amiens
S U S U U
2–2
Full-time
St Etienne
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 37%
27%
47%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
47%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%
5 Shots 26
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 12
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 17. · St Etienne 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 29 26 2 1 +71 80
2 Lille 30 18 6 6 +22 60
3 Lyon 31 16 8 7 +14 56
4 St Etienne 30 14 7 9 +8 49
5 Marseille 31 14 6 11 +5 48
6 Reims 30 11 13 6 +0 46
7 Montpellier 30 11 12 7 +8 45
8 Nice 30 12 8 10 -7 44
9 Strasbourg 30 10 12 8 +14 42
10 Rennes 29 11 8 10 +2 41
11 Bordeaux 31 9 11 11 -1 38
12 Angers 30 8 13 9 +0 37
13 Nimes 29 10 7 12 -3 37
14 Toulouse 30 7 11 12 -16 32
15 Nantes 29 8 7 14 -5 31
16 Monaco 30 7 9 14 -15 30
17 Amiens 30 8 6 16 -19 30
18 Dijon 31 6 6 19 -24 24
19 Caen 30 4 11 15 -20 23
20 Guingamp 30 5 7 18 -34 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens St Etienne
1′
🟨 Neven Subotić
16′
T. Kolodziejczak 0–1
W. Khazri
1–1 M. Konaté
E. Gnahoré
23′
Jordan Lefort 🟥
32′
B. Dibassy 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
36′
Half-time 1–1
57′
🟨 Timothée Kolodziejczak
59′
🔁 R. Hamouma
↦ A. Nordin
2–1 M. Konaté
S. Mendoza
61′
68′
🔁 L. Diony
↦ V. Vada
F. Otero 🔁
↦ C. Timite
73′
80′
🔁 P. Polomat
↦ N. Subotić
B. Zungu 🔁
↦ E. Gnahoré
83′
Prince Gouano 🟨
90′
Regis Gurtner 🟨
90′
95′
R. Cabella 2–2
W. Khazri
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Amiens

4-3-3
1 R. Gurtner G
26 E. Pieters D
2 P. Gouano D
4 E. Krafth D
25 J. Lefort D
6 T. Monconduit M
5 E. Gnahoré M
17 A. Blin M
20 C. Timite M
10 S. Mendoza M
15 M. Konaté F
Bench (7)
12 B. Dibassy
11 F. Otero
34 B. Zungu
29 Q. Cornette
3 K. Adénon
19 O. El Hajjam
16 M. Dreyer

Coach: C. Pélissier

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
16 S. Ruffier G
24 L. Perrin D
26 M. Debuchy D
28 N. Subotić D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
6 Y. M'Vila M
7 R. Cabella M
23 V. Vada M
18 A. Nordin M
10 W. Khazri F
27 R. Berič F
Bench (7)
21 R. Hamouma
9 L. Diony
3 P. Polomat
4 W. Saliba
30 J. Moulin
32 C. Abi
33 Kenny Rocha Santos

Coach: J. Gasset

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.