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Ligue 2
Referee: E Wattellier
Pau FC
S U U T T
0–1
Full-time
St Etienne
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
65%
35%
Both score Ø 53%
65%
40%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 19
0 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 5. · St Etienne 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 20 12 5 3 +22 41
2 Angers 20 12 4 4 +15 40
3 Grenoble 20 9 8 3 +8 35
4 Laval 20 10 5 5 +4 35
5 Pau FC 20 8 7 5 +2 31
6 Guingamp 20 8 6 6 +8 30
7 Rodez 20 8 6 6 +3 30
8 Paris FC 20 9 3 8 +2 30
9 Ajaccio 20 8 6 6 +0 30
10 Caen 20 8 5 7 +3 29
11 St Etienne 20 8 5 7 +0 29
12 Amiens 20 7 7 6 -3 28
13 Bastia 20 6 6 8 +0 24
14 Troyes 20 5 8 7 -1 23
15 Bordeaux 20 6 5 9 -7 23
16 Concarneau 20 6 4 10 -9 22
17 Annecy 20 4 7 9 -7 19
18 Quevilly Rouen 20 3 8 9 -5 17
19 Dunkerque 20 3 5 12 -19 14
20 Valenciennes 20 1 8 11 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC St Etienne
Xavier Kouassi 🟨
36′
38′
D. Chambost 0–1
Half-time 0–1
H. Saivet 🔁
↦ M. Chahiri
63′
K. Boutaïb 🔁
↦ M. Bassouamina
63′
64′
🔁 L. Fomba
↦ T. Monconduit
64′
🔁 I. Wadji
↦ I. Cardona
C. Boli 🔁
↦ Y. Begraoui
74′
78′
🔁 N. Mbuku
↦ B. Bouchouari
Sessi D'Almeida 🟨
85′
Bingourou Kamara 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Pau FC

4-4-1-1
1 B. Kamara G
24 K. Boto D
4 X. Kouassi D
25 J. Ruiz D
23 J. Obiang D
7 M. Sylla M
6 S. D'Almeida M
21 S. Beusnard M
11 M. Bassouamina M
99 M. Chahiri F
9 Y. Begraoui F
Bench (7)
8 H. Saivet
10 K. Boutaïb
70 C. Boli
40 M. Jeannin
19 O. Kanté
22 A. Ahoussou
33 T. Colléaux

Coach: N. Usaï

St Etienne

4-1-4-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
8 D. Appiah D
23 A. Briançon D
3 M. Nadé D
27 Y. Maçon D
5 F. Tardieu M
14 D. Chambost M
29 A. Moueffek M
7 T. Monconduit M
6 B. Bouchouari M
11 I. Cardona F
Bench (7)
26 L. Fomba
25 I. Wadji
10 N. Mbuku
31 C. Fall
19 L. Pétrot
48 B. Djile
1 M. Dreyer

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U
3,40
B ✓
2,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.