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Ligue 1
Referee: A Delerue
St Etienne
T T S S S
2–2
Full-time
Amiens
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 12. · Amiens 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 8 0 2 +16 24
2 Nantes 11 6 1 4 +2 19
3 Lille 11 5 3 3 +6 18
4 Reims 11 5 3 3 +5 18
5 Angers 11 5 2 4 +0 17
6 Brest 11 4 5 2 +0 17
7 Marseille 10 4 4 2 +1 16
8 Bordeaux 11 4 3 4 +1 15
9 Rennes 11 4 3 4 +1 15
10 Montpellier 11 4 3 4 +1 15
11 Monaco 11 4 3 4 -2 15
12 St Etienne 10 4 2 4 -4 14
13 Lyon 11 3 4 4 +7 13
14 Nice 11 4 1 6 -5 13
15 Amiens 10 3 3 4 -2 12
16 Strasbourg 11 3 3 5 -5 12
17 Toulouse 11 3 3 5 -6 12
18 Nimes 11 2 5 4 -2 11
19 Metz 11 3 2 6 -7 11
20 Dijon 11 2 3 6 -7 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Amiens
24′
🟨 Aurélien Chedjou
1–0 W. Khazri
D. Bouanga
45′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 C. Akolo
↦ F. Diabaté
68′
S. Mendoza 1–1
Wesley Fofana 🟨
71′
A. Nordin 🔁
↦ Sergi Palencia
72′
R. Hamouma 🔁
↦ R. Boudebouz
75′
76′
🔁 T. Monconduit
↦ E. Gnahoré
76′
C. Akolo 1–2
Yann M'Vila 🟨
77′
79′
🟨 Gaël Kakuta
1–3 B. Dibassy
own goal
80′
83′
🔁 M. Bodmer
↦ G. Kakuta
M. Debuchy 🔁
↦ C. Abi
84′
90′
🟨 Arturo Calabresi
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

St Etienne

3-4-2-1
16 S. Ruffier G
24 L. Perrin D
23 Sergi Palencia M
32 W. Fofana D
4 W. Saliba D
6 Y. M'Vila M
7 R. Boudebouz F
20 D. Bouanga M
28 Z. Youssouf M
10 W. Khazri F
31 C. Abi F
Bench (7)
18 A. Nordin
21 R. Hamouma
26 M. Debuchy
5 T. Kolodziejczak
27 R. Berič
8 M. Camara
30 J. Moulin

Coach: C. Puel

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
27 A. Chedjou D
14 H. Aleesami D
12 B. Dibassy D
3 A. Calabresi D
10 G. Kakuta M
20 S. Mendoza M
5 E. Gnahoré M
17 A. Blin M
9 S. Guirassy F
28 F. Diabaté M
Bench (7)
19 C. Akolo
6 T. Monconduit
24 M. Bodmer
13 C. Jallet
11 F. Otero
25 J. Lefort
16 M. Dreyer

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
U ✓
3,51
B
4,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Delerue · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.