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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Auxerre

S U S S S

1–1

Full-time

St Etienne

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 7

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	38	26	8	4	+54	86
2	Marseille	38	21	8	9	+25	71
3	Monaco	38	20	9	9	+25	69
4	Nice	38	20	7	11	+16	67
5	Rennes	38	20	6	12	+42	66
6	Strasbourg	38	17	12	9	+17	63
7	Lyon	38	17	11	10	+15	62
8	Lens	38	17	11	10	+14	62
9	Nantes	38	15	10	13	+7	55
10	Lille	38	14	13	11	+0	55
11	Brest	38	13	9	16	-8	48
12	Reims	38	11	13	14	-1	46
13	Montpellier	38	12	7	19	-12	43
14	Angers	38	10	11	17	-11	41
15	Troyes	38	9	11	18	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	8	12	18	-28	36
17	Clermont	38	9	9	20	-31	36
18	St Etienne	38	7	11	20	-35	32
19	Metz	38	6	13	19	-34	31
20	Bordeaux	38	6	13	19	-39	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	19	16	3	0	+37	51
2	Rennes	19	14	1	4	+37	43
3	Monaco	19	12	4	3	+22	40
4	Strasbourg	19	11	5	3	+18	38
5	Lyon	19	11	5	3	+17	38
6	Nantes	19	11	4	4	+13	37
7	Lens	19	9	7	3	+15	34
8	Nice	19	10	4	5	+6	34
9	Marseille	19	9	5	5	+11	32
10	Lille	19	7	8	4	+2	29
11	Montpellier	19	7	5	7	+1	26
12	Angers	19	8	2	9	+0	26
13	Brest	19	7	4	8	-1	25
14	Lorient	19	6	6	7	-2	24
15	Troyes	19	5	7	7	+0	22
16	Reims	19	5	6	8	+2	21
17	Clermont	19	4	6	9	-11	18
18	St Etienne	19	4	6	9	-14	18
19	Bordeaux	19	3	7	9	-8	16
20	Metz	19	3	7	9	-10	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	19	12	3	4	+14	39
2	Paris SG	19	10	5	4	+17	35
3	Nice	19	10	3	6	+10	33
4	Monaco	19	8	5	6	+3	29
5	Lens	19	8	4	7	-1	28
6	Lille	19	7	5	7	-2	26
7	Strasbourg	19	6	7	6	-1	25
8	Reims	19	6	7	6	-3	25
9	Lyon	19	6	6	7	-2	24
10	Rennes	19	6	5	8	+5	23
11	Brest	19	6	5	8	-7	23
12	Nantes	19	4	6	9	-6	18
13	Clermont	19	5	3	11	-20	18
14	Montpellier	19	5	2	12	-13	17
15	Troyes	19	4	4	11	-16	16
16	Angers	19	2	9	8	-11	15
17	Metz	19	3	6	10	-24	15
18	Bordeaux	19	3	6	10	-31	15
19	St Etienne	19	3	5	11	-21	14
20	Lorient	19	2	6	11	-26	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.