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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
2–3
Full-time
Concarneau
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Quevilly Rouen Concarneau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,4
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
40%
20%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
1,8
1,6
Scored
0,6
0,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

48% Possession 52%
23 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Quevilly Rouen 19. · Concarneau 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 6 4 0 2 +7 12
2 Amiens 5 4 0 1 +4 12
3 Laval 5 3 1 1 +1 10
4 Grenoble 5 2 3 0 +3 9
5 Auxerre 5 2 2 1 +4 8
6 Bastia 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Angers 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 St Etienne 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Guingamp 5 2 1 2 +3 7
10 Pau FC 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Bordeaux 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Troyes 5 1 3 1 +1 6
13 Annecy 5 1 3 1 +0 6
14 Ajaccio 5 1 3 1 -2 6
15 Rodez 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Dunkerque 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Valenciennes 5 1 2 2 -5 5
18 Paris FC 5 1 0 4 -5 3
19 Quevilly Rouen 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Concarneau 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Quevilly Rouen Concarneau
28′
N. Chadli 0–1
A. Phliponeau
35′
P. Bâ 0–2
Y. Merdji
S. Soumano 🔁
↦ G. Sangaré
45′
Half-time 0–3
47′
Y. Merdji 0–3
Samuel Loric 🟨
47′
55′
🔁 T. Sinquin
↦ A. Phliponeau
60′
🟨 Thibault Sinquin
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ A. Do Marcolino
71′
M. Camara 🔁
↦ P. Yade
71′
81′
🔁 J. Faussurier
↦ N. Chadli
1–3 S. Soumano
M. Camara
83′
90′
🔁 N. Ndombasi
↦ M. Etuin
1–4 A. Georgen
own goal
92′
N. Cissé 🔁
↦ S. Loric
93′
J. Pendant 🔁
↦ A. Sissoko
93′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Quevilly Rouen

4-1-4-1
1 B. Leroy G
58 A. Sissoko D
15 Steven Fortès D
5 T. Cissokho D
22 S. Loric D
4 B. Pierret M
23 L. Delaurier-Chaubet M
8 N. Cadiou M
17 G. Sangaré M
90 P. Yade M
14 A. Do Marcolino F
Bench (7)
9 S. Soumano
19 K. Coulibaly
93 M. Camara
20 N. Cissé
7 J. Pendant
10 A. Bonnet
33 A. Anzimati-Aboudou

Coach: O. Echouafni

Concarneau

4-4-2
30 E. Salles G
2 A. Georgen D
4 G. Jannez D
12 J. Célestine D
23 R. Sans D
21 N. Chadli M
6 A. Phliponeau M
17 M. Etuin M
20 B. Mouazan M
18 Y. Merdji F
14 P. Bâ F
Bench (7)
26 T. Sinquin
33 J. Faussurier
9 N. Ndombasi
28 I. Paro
11 A. Urie
1 M. Pattier
7 I. Matondo

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U
3,36
B ✓
4,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.