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Ligue 2
Referee: W Toulliou
Guingamp
T S T S U
2–0
Full-time
Niort
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Niort
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 28%
36%
19%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
58%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 10. · Niort 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 36 19 14 3 +26 71
2 Bordeaux 36 20 9 7 +25 69
3 Metz 36 18 12 6 +26 66
4 Bastia 36 17 8 11 +8 59
5 Caen 36 16 10 10 +10 58
6 Sochaux 36 15 7 14 +16 52
7 St Etienne 36 14 10 12 +4 52
8 Paris FC 36 14 9 13 +1 51
9 Grenoble 36 14 9 13 +0 51
10 Guingamp 36 13 10 13 +1 49
11 Quevilly Rouen 36 12 13 11 +0 49
12 Amiens 36 12 8 16 -13 44
13 Rodez 36 10 13 13 -5 43
14 Valenciennes 36 9 15 12 -6 42
15 Annecy 36 10 12 14 -12 42
16 Dijon 36 10 11 15 -4 41
17 Pau FC 36 10 11 15 -14 41
18 Laval 36 12 4 20 -15 40
19 Nimes 36 9 6 21 -18 33
20 Niort 36 7 7 22 -30 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Niort
D. Gomis 🔁
↦ L. Mbe Soh
28′
1–0 G. Courtet
J. Livolant
31′
Half-time 1–0
66′
🔁 Y. Merdji
↦ T. Tormin
A. El Ouazzani 🔁
↦ B. Guillaume
71′
M. Merghem 🔁
↦ H. Picard
71′
74′
🔁 G. Bentil
↦ R. Bakayoko
75′
🔁 C. Kaboré
↦ J. Olaitan
85′
🔁 B. Boutobba
↦ S. Renel
85′
🔁 L. Manga
↦ A. Sagna
Jules Gaudin 🟨
86′
W. Tchimbembé 🔁
↦ T. Muyumba
90′
M. Barthelmé 🔁
↦ J. Livolant
90′
2–0 G. Courtet
A. El Ouazzani
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
26 M. Riou D
22 L. Mbe Soh D
25 J. Gaudin D
4 D. Louiserre M
6 T. Muyumba M
29 J. Livolant M
18 G. Courtet M
20 H. Picard M
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
7 D. Gomis
9 A. El Ouazzani
10 M. Merghem
12 W. Tchimbembé
28 M. Barthelmé
15 V. Manceau
30 D. Youfeigane

Coach: S. Dumont

Niort

4-3-3
1 M. Michel G
14 D. Durivaux D
5 G. Kilama D
4 I. Conté D
21 L. Vallier D
15 J. Olaitan M
26 S. Benchamma M
17 S. Renel M
20 A. Sagna F
22 R. Bakayoko F
24 T. Tormin F
Bench (7)
11 Y. Merdji
99 G. Bentil
25 C. Kaboré
10 B. Boutobba
12 L. Manga
16 J. Louchet
2 Q. Bernard

Coach: B. Simondi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,38
B
5,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,27
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Toulliou · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.