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Ligue 2
Referee: G Angoula
Amiens
T T U S T
1–3
Full-time
Caen
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 39%
34%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
40%
51%
Both score Ø 55%
49%
60%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 12. · Caen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 35 19 14 2 +28 71
2 Bordeaux 36 20 9 7 +25 69
3 Metz 35 18 11 6 +26 65
4 Bastia 35 16 8 11 +4 56
5 Caen 35 15 10 10 +8 55
6 Sochaux 35 15 7 13 +17 52
7 Grenoble 36 14 9 13 +0 51
8 St Etienne 35 13 10 12 +2 49
9 Quevilly Rouen 35 12 13 10 +2 49
10 Guingamp 35 13 9 13 +1 48
11 Paris FC 35 13 9 13 +0 48
12 Amiens 35 12 8 15 -11 44
13 Rodez 36 10 13 13 -5 43
14 Pau FC 35 10 11 14 -10 41
15 Annecy 35 10 11 14 -12 41
16 Laval 36 12 4 20 -15 40
17 Valenciennes 35 8 15 12 -8 39
18 Dijon 35 9 11 15 -5 38
19 Nimes 35 9 6 20 -17 33
20 Niort 35 7 6 22 -30 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Caen
1–0 I. Gomis
M. Lachuer
13′
40′
R. Thomas 1–1
Half-time 1–1
57′
🔁 C. Zady Sery
↦ G. Kyeremeh
60′
H. Vandermersch 1–2
Y. Court
P. Cissé 🔁
↦ M. Lachuer
64′
A. Léautey 🔁
↦ J. Antiste
64′
66′
🟨 Romain Thomas
70′
Alexandre Mendy 1–3
A. Abdi
74′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ Y. Court
Iron Gomis 🟨
79′
O. Gene 🔁
↦ S. Ring
81′
M. Touho 🔁
↦ G. Ilenikhena
81′
83′
🔁 N. Lebreton
↦ A. Salétros
83′
🔁 S. Essende
↦ Alexandre Mendy
83′
🔁 J. Obiang
↦ H. Vandermersch
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Amiens

4-5-1
1 R. Gurtner G
5 F. Mendy D
4 N. Opoku D
2 M. Fofana D
3 S. Ring D
17 I. Gomis M
24 J. Gélin M
20 M. Lachuer M
6 Mamadou Fofana II M
21 J. Antiste M
46 G. Ilenikhena F
Bench (7)
18 P. Cissé
7 A. Léautey
25 O. Gene
47 M. Touho
16 P. Charruau
10 A. Chibozo
23 A. Barry

Coach: P. Descamps

Caen

4-2-3-1
1 A. Mandréa G
24 H. Vandermersch D
91 E. Ntim D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
6 Q. Daubin M
14 A. Salétros M
17 G. Kyeremeh M
21 B. Brahimi M
11 Y. Court M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
10 C. Zady Sery
13 M. Sylla
20 N. Lebreton
99 S. Essende
23 J. Obiang
16 Y. Clementia
77 N. Bassette

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,67
U
3,28
B ✓
2,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Angoula · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.