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Ligue 2

Referee: O Thual

Guingamp

S T T S U

1–2

Full-time

Caen

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 36%

33%

38%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

46%

38%

Both score Ø 52%

54%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 11. · Caen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	25	14	10	1	+24	52
2	Bordeaux	24	12	6	6	+14	42
3	Sochaux	24	12	5	7	+16	41
4	Metz	24	10	8	6	+11	38
5	Grenoble	25	10	8	7	+4	38
6	Caen	24	9	9	6	+4	36
7	Quevilly Rouen	24	9	8	7	+3	35
8	Bastia	24	10	5	9	-3	35
9	Amiens	23	9	6	8	+0	33
10	Annecy	24	8	8	8	+4	32
11	Guingamp	24	8	7	9	-3	31
12	Laval	24	9	4	11	-6	31
13	St Etienne	24	8	6	10	-4	30
14	Valenciennes	24	7	9	8	-5	30
15	Paris FC	23	7	7	9	-6	28
16	Pau FC	24	6	9	9	-8	27
17	Nimes	24	6	5	13	-12	23
18	Niort	24	6	5	13	-15	23
19	Dijon	24	5	7	12	-8	22
20	Rodez	24	4	10	10	-10	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	12	8	4	0	+13	28
2	Caen	12	7	4	1	+11	25
3	Sochaux	12	7	3	2	+13	24
4	Bordeaux	12	7	3	2	+9	24
5	Bastia	13	7	2	4	+4	23
6	Valenciennes	12	5	7	0	+6	22
7	Grenoble	13	6	4	3	+3	22
8	Quevilly Rouen	12	5	5	2	+6	20
9	Metz	12	5	5	2	+5	20
10	Annecy	12	6	2	4	+3	20
11	Amiens	11	5	3	3	+3	18
12	St Etienne	12	5	3	4	+0	18
13	Laval	12	5	2	5	+1	17
14	Dijon	13	4	5	4	+0	17
15	Nimes	12	5	1	6	-3	16
16	Pau FC	12	3	5	4	-4	14
17	Niort	12	4	2	6	-6	14
18	Guingamp	12	3	3	6	-4	12
19	Paris FC	10	2	3	5	-6	9
20	Rodez	12	1	5	6	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	13	6	6	1	+11	24
2	Guingamp	12	5	4	3	+1	19
3	Paris FC	13	5	4	4	+0	19
4	Metz	12	5	3	4	+6	18
5	Bordeaux	12	5	3	4	+5	18
6	Sochaux	12	5	2	5	+3	17
7	Grenoble	12	4	4	4	+1	16
8	Amiens	12	4	3	5	-3	15
9	Quevilly Rouen	12	4	3	5	-3	15
10	Rodez	12	3	5	4	-1	14
11	Laval	12	4	2	6	-7	14
12	Pau FC	12	3	4	5	-4	13
13	Annecy	12	2	6	4	+1	12
14	St Etienne	12	3	3	6	-4	12
15	Bastia	11	3	3	5	-7	12
16	Caen	12	2	5	5	-7	11
17	Niort	12	2	3	7	-9	9
18	Valenciennes	12	2	2	8	-11	8
19	Nimes	12	1	4	7	-9	7
20	Dijon	11	1	2	8	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.