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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Jakubik
Piast Gliwice
S U T S T
2–1
Full-time
Cracovia
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
24%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
29%
24%
Both score Ø 36%
43%
29%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Piast Gliwice 16. · Cracovia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 22 16 4 2 +27 52
2 Legia 22 12 7 3 +8 43
3 Widzew Lodz 22 10 6 6 +6 36
4 Lech Poznan 21 10 6 5 +6 36
5 Pogon Szczecin 21 9 6 6 +2 33
6 Cracovia 21 9 5 7 +8 32
7 Stal Mielec 21 8 5 8 +1 29
8 Radomiak Radom 21 8 5 8 -1 29
9 Wisla Plock 20 8 4 8 +2 28
10 Warta Poznan 20 7 6 7 +0 27
11 Slask Wroclaw 21 6 7 8 -7 25
12 Jagiellonia 22 5 9 8 +0 24
13 Zaglebie 21 6 5 10 -13 23
14 Gornik Zabrze 21 5 7 9 -6 22
15 Lechia Gdansk 21 6 4 11 -12 22
16 Piast Gliwice 21 5 5 11 -4 20
17 Korona Kielce 21 5 5 11 -8 20
18 Legnica 21 4 6 11 -9 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Piast Gliwice Cracovia
Michał Chrapek ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
7′
44′
🟨 Michał Rakoczy
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Y. Konoplyanka
↦ M. Rakoczy
46′
🔁 B. Källman
↦ K. Knap
1–0 G. Tomasiewicz
M. Chrapek
47′
Arkadiusz Pyrka ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
54′
2–0 P. Dziczek
56′
60′
🔁 P. Jaroszyński
↦ M. Sipľak
Jorge Félix 🔁
↦ M. Ameyaw
62′
64′
A. Hoskonen 2–1
J. Atanasov
T. Hateley 🔁
↦ D. Kądzior
72′
76′
🟨 Otar Kakabadze
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Paweł Jaroszyński
83′
🔁 M. Bochnak
↦ O. Kakabadze
A. Sobczyk 🔁
↦ G. Tomasiewicz
87′
92′
🟨 Yevhen Konoplyanka
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Piast Gliwice

4-2-3-1
26 F. Plach G
77 A. Pyrka D
2 A. Mosór D
3 Miguel Muñoz D
98 A. Katránis D
16 P. Dziczek M
20 G. Tomasiewicz M
92 D. Kądzior M
6 M. Chrapek M
19 M. Ameyaw M
18 K. Wilczek F
Bench (9)
7 Jorge Félix
24 T. Hateley
34 A. Sobczyk
23 S. Mucha
37 C. Reiner
25 P. Liszewski
33 K. Szymański
30 O. Leśniak
28 M. Kaput

Coach: A. Vukovic

Cracovia

5-4-1
23 K. Niemczycki G
25 O. Kakabadze D
2 C. Râpă D
22 A. Hoskonen D
5 V. Ghiță D
3 M. Sipľak D
6 J. Atanasov M
20 K. Knap M
18 T. Oshima M
11 M. Rakoczy M
71 P. Makuch F
Bench (9)
10 Y. Konoplyanka
9 B. Källman
4 P. Jaroszyński
17 M. Bochnak
55 M. Stachera
36 K. Jodłowski
21 K. Śmiglewski
73 P. Zaucha
31 L. Hroššo

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Jakubik · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.