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Championship
Referee: D Bond
West Brom
T S T U T
2–0
Full-time
Middlesbrough
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
This season — Championship · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 46%
38%
53%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
34%
66%
Both score Ø 58%
50%
66%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

30% Possession 70%
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 10. · Middlesbrough 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 33 21 10 2 +36 73
2 Sheffield United 32 18 7 7 +24 61
3 Middlesbrough 32 17 6 9 +19 57
4 Blackburn 33 16 4 13 -2 52
5 Millwall 32 14 8 10 +7 50
6 Watford 33 13 11 9 +4 50
7 Norwich 33 14 7 12 +9 49
8 Sunderland 33 13 9 11 +11 48
9 Luton 30 13 9 8 +7 48
10 West Brom 32 12 9 11 +6 45
11 Coventry 31 12 8 11 +2 44
12 Swansea 33 11 9 13 -4 42
13 Hull 33 11 9 13 -9 42
14 Preston 32 11 9 12 -9 42
15 Bristol City 32 10 11 11 +1 41
16 Reading 32 12 5 15 -12 41
17 Stoke 33 11 7 15 -1 40
18 QPR 33 10 9 14 -12 39
19 Birmingham 33 10 8 15 -7 38
20 Rotherham 33 8 12 13 -9 36
21 Cardiff 33 9 8 16 -11 35
22 Huddersfield 32 8 7 17 -13 31
23 Blackpool 33 7 10 16 -16 31
24 Wigan 32 7 10 15 -21 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Middlesbrough
1–0 D. Dike
J. Wallace
8′
2–0 D. Dike
10′
44′
🟨 Tommy Smith
Half-time 2–0
M. Albrighton 🔁
↦ G. Diangana
50′
57′
🔁 D. Fry
↦ P. McNair
68′
🔁 A. Ramsey
↦ M. Forss
B. Thomas-Asante 🔁
↦ D. Dike
78′
78′
🔁 I. Jones
↦ R. McGree
78′
🔁 M. Crooks
↦ C. Archer
N. Chalobah 🔁
↦ J. Swift
86′
S. Ajayi 🔁
↦ E. Pieters
86′
T. Gardner-Hickman 🔁
↦ J. Molumby
96′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

West Brom

4-2-3-1
33 J. Griffiths G
2 D. Furlong D
4 D. O'Shea D
15 E. Pieters D
3 C. Townsend D
35 O. Yokuşlu M
14 J. Molumby M
17 J. Wallace M
19 J. Swift M
11 G. Diangana M
12 D. Dike F
Bench (7)
22 M. Albrighton
21 B. Thomas-Asante
25 N. Chalobah
6 S. Ajayi
29 T. Gardner-Hickman
1 D. Button
20 A. Reach

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Steffen G
14 T. Smith D
17 P. McNair D
26 D. Lenihan D
3 R. Giles D
16 J. Howson M
30 H. Hackney M
21 M. Forss M
29 C. Akpom M
8 R. McGree M
10 C. Archer F
Bench (7)
6 D. Fry
11 A. Ramsey
2 I. Jones
25 M. Crooks
23 L. Roberts
27 M. Bola
7 D. Barlaser

Coach: M. Carrick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
3,35
B
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.