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Svenska Cupen

Referee: V Wolf

Sirius

U U S T S

4–0

Full-time

Dalkurd FF

S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Dalkurd FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sirius 7. · Dalkurd FF 29. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Helsingborg	2	2	0	0	+11	6
5	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+11	6
6	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+8	6
7	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Varberg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Degerfors	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Kalmar	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	GAIS	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	Orebro SK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	IFK Luleå	3	2	0	1	+0	6
18	Oskarshamns AIK	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Onsala	3	2	0	1	-2	6
20	Trollhättan	4	2	0	2	-3	6
21	AIK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	Vasteras SK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Sundsvall	3	1	1	1	+1	4
24	Norrby IF	3	1	1	1	-2	4
25	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
26	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	+4	3
27	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+3	3
28	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Dalkurd FF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Österlen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Vasalund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Trelleborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Utsikten	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Lund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Ljungskile SK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
56	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Haninge	2	0	1	1	-2	1
60	Täby	2	0	1	1	-2	1
61	Sleipner	2	0	1	1	-2	1
62	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	IFK Luleå	3	2	0	1	+0	6
2	Trollhättan	4	2	0	2	-3	6
3	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
4	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	GAIS	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Onsala	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	Oskarshamns AIK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
24	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Sundsvall	2	0	1	1	-2	1
29	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Brommapojkarna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Sleipner	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Österlen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Norrby IF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Ljungskile SK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Helsingborg	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Degerfors	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Orebro SK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Vasteras SK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Norrby IF	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+9	3
14	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Österlen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Sundsvall	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Ljungskile SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Vasalund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Oskarshamns AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Dalkurd FF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Onsala	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Trelleborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Utsikten	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Täby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Sleipner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
63	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.