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Serie B
Referee: L Zufferli
Venezia
T U S S U
0–0
Full-time
Cagliari
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
28%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
48%
36%
Both score Ø 62%
68%
56%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 10
2 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Venezia 15. · Cagliari 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 26 17 4 5 +25 55
2 Genoa 25 12 8 5 +9 44
3 Bari 25 10 10 5 +14 40
4 Sudtirol 25 10 10 5 +1 40
5 Reggina 25 12 3 10 +9 39
6 Pisa 26 9 11 6 +11 38
7 Parma 26 10 7 9 +4 37
8 Cagliari 25 9 9 7 +2 36
9 Modena 25 10 5 10 +3 35
10 Palermo 25 9 8 8 -2 35
11 Ternana 25 9 7 9 -6 34
12 Ascoli 25 8 8 9 -2 32
13 Cittadella 25 7 9 9 -9 30
14 Perugia 26 8 5 13 -3 29
15 Venezia 25 7 7 11 -5 28
16 Como 25 6 10 9 -8 28
17 Benevento 25 6 8 11 -6 26
18 Spal 25 5 10 10 -4 25
19 Brescia 25 6 7 12 -16 25
20 Cosenza 25 5 8 12 -17 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Cagliari
T. Milanese 🔁
↦ M. Jajalo
19′
Francesco Zampano 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Barreca
↦ N. Lella
Mikael Ellertsson 🟨
49′
M. Kofod Andersen 🔁
↦ M. Ellertsson
67′
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ N. Pierini
67′
68′
🔁 N. Prelec
↦ M. Mancosu
A. Novakovich 🔁
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
77′
D. Cheryshev 🔁
↦ F. Zampano
77′
Tommaso Milanese 🟨
79′
Petko Hristov 🟥
86′
Petko Hristov ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
86′
93′
🔁 L. Pavoletti
↦ Zito Luvumbo
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Venezia

3-5-2
66 J. Joronen G
55 P. Hristov D
30 M. Svoboda D
44 A. Carboni D
27 A. Candela M
6 G. Busio M
18 M. Jajalo M
77 M. Ellertsson M
7 F. Zampano M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
25 N. Pierini F
Bench (10)
62 T. Milanese
38 M. Kofod Andersen
17 D. Johnsen
11 A. Novakovich
21 D. Cheryshev
33 M. Šverko
23 L. Ceppitelli
12 Bruno
1 N. Mäenpää
19 R. Ciervo

Coach: P. Vanoli

Cagliari

4-4-2
1 B. Radunović G
28 G. Zappa D
3 E. Goldaniga D
4 A. Dossena D
33 A. Obert D
77 Zito Luvumbo M
6 M. Rog M
29 A. Makoumbou M
23 N. Lella M
39 C. Kourfalidis F
5 M. Mancosu F
Bench (11)
27 A. Barreca
20 N. Prelec
30 L. Pavoletti
80 I. Delpupo
37 Paulo Azzi
24 E. Capradossi
18 S. Aresti
12 E. Lolic
15 G. Altare
14 A. Deiola
19 V. Millico

Coach: C. Ranieri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,38
U ✓
3,22
B
3,02
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Zufferli · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.