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Ligue 2
Referee: W Toulliou
Paris FC
T T U U T
3–0
Full-time
Niort
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Niort
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 23/24 matches
Win Ø 28%
30%
25%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
39%
54%
Both score Ø 49%
48%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 15. · Niort 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 25 14 10 1 +24 52
2 Bordeaux 24 12 6 6 +14 42
3 Sochaux 24 12 5 7 +16 41
4 Metz 24 10 8 6 +11 38
5 Grenoble 25 10 8 7 +4 38
6 Caen 24 9 9 6 +4 36
7 Quevilly Rouen 24 9 8 7 +3 35
8 Bastia 24 10 5 9 -3 35
9 Amiens 23 9 6 8 +0 33
10 Annecy 24 8 8 8 +4 32
11 Guingamp 24 8 7 9 -3 31
12 Laval 24 9 4 11 -6 31
13 St Etienne 24 8 6 10 -4 30
14 Valenciennes 24 7 9 8 -5 30
15 Paris FC 23 7 7 9 -6 28
16 Pau FC 24 6 9 9 -8 27
17 Nimes 24 6 5 13 -12 23
18 Niort 24 6 5 13 -15 23
19 Dijon 24 5 7 12 -8 22
20 Rodez 24 4 10 10 -10 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris FC Niort
9′
🟨 Samuel Renel
Half-time 0–0
K. Mbala 🔁
↦ A. Gory
52′
62′
🔁 J. Flemmings
↦ K. Rocheteau
I. Kebbal 🔁
↦ K. Boutaïb
69′
1–0 M. Guilavogui
72′
85′
🔁 R. Bakayoko
↦ S. Renel
2–0 M. Guilavogui
K. Mbala
86′
3–0 I. Kebbal
M. Bernauer
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-3-3
1 V. Demarconnay G
8 Y. Maçon D
24 M. Bernauer D
15 J. Lefort D
29 F. Hanin D
6 P. Lasne M
31 S. Chergui M
14 C. Mandouki M
21 M. Guilavogui F
9 K. Boutaïb F
27 A. Gory F
Bench (7)
26 K. Mbala
11 I. Kebbal
22 W. Caddy
25 Y. Koré
40 I. Filipović
10 J. Iglesias
13 K. Dabila

Coach: T. Laurey

Niort

4-1-4-1
1 M. Michel G
29 J. Moutachy D
27 B. Passi D
4 I. Conté D
2 Q. Bernard D
26 S. Benchamma M
10 B. Boutobba M
7 M. Zemzemi M
17 S. Renel M
20 A. Sagna M
9 K. Rocheteau F
Bench (7)
77 J. Flemmings
22 R. Bakayoko
16 J. Louchet
5 G. Kilama
21 L. Vallier
14 D. Durivaux
25 C. Kaboré

Coach: O. Tchomogo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
U
3,35
B
4,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,25
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Toulliou · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.