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Ligue 2

Referee: R Landry

Guingamp

U T S T T

3–1

Full-time

Valenciennes

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Valenciennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 32%

32%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

45%

32%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

45%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 14. · Valenciennes 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	22	13	8	1	+23	47
2	Sochaux	22	12	3	7	+16	39
3	Bordeaux	22	11	6	5	+15	39
4	Metz	22	10	6	6	+11	36
5	Grenoble	22	10	6	6	+5	36
6	Bastia	22	10	4	8	-2	34
7	Amiens	22	9	6	7	+2	33
8	Caen	22	8	8	6	+3	32
9	Quevilly Rouen	22	8	7	7	+2	31
10	Valenciennes	22	7	8	7	-3	29
11	Annecy	22	7	7	8	+2	28
12	Paris FC	22	7	7	8	-5	28
13	St Etienne	23	7	6	10	-5	27
14	Guingamp	22	7	6	9	-5	27
15	Laval	22	8	3	11	-7	27
16	Pau FC	22	6	8	8	-7	26
17	Nimes	22	6	4	12	-11	22
18	Dijon	23	5	6	12	-8	21
19	Rodez	22	4	8	10	-10	20
20	Niort	22	5	5	12	-16	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	11	7	4	0	+12	25
2	Sochaux	11	7	2	2	+13	23
3	Caen	11	6	4	1	+10	22
4	Bastia	11	7	1	3	+5	22
5	Bordeaux	11	6	3	2	+8	21
6	Valenciennes	11	5	6	0	+6	21
7	Grenoble	11	6	2	3	+3	20
8	Quevilly Rouen	11	5	4	2	+6	19
9	Metz	11	5	4	2	+5	19
10	Amiens	11	5	3	3	+3	18
11	St Etienne	12	5	3	4	+0	18
12	Annecy	11	5	2	4	+1	17
13	Laval	11	5	1	5	+1	16
14	Dijon	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Nimes	11	5	1	5	-2	16
16	Pau FC	11	3	5	3	-3	14
17	Niort	11	3	2	6	-8	11
18	Guingamp	11	2	3	6	-6	9
19	Paris FC	10	2	3	5	-6	9
20	Rodez	11	1	4	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	11	6	4	1	+11	22
2	Paris FC	12	5	4	3	+1	19
3	Bordeaux	11	5	3	3	+7	18
4	Guingamp	11	5	3	3	+1	18
5	Metz	11	5	2	4	+6	17
6	Sochaux	11	5	1	5	+3	16
7	Grenoble	11	4	4	3	+2	16
8	Amiens	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Rodez	11	3	4	4	-1	13
10	Pau FC	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Quevilly Rouen	11	3	3	5	-4	12
12	Bastia	11	3	3	5	-7	12
13	Annecy	11	2	5	4	+1	11
14	Laval	11	3	2	6	-8	11
15	Caen	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	St Etienne	11	2	3	6	-5	9
17	Niort	11	2	3	6	-8	9
18	Valenciennes	11	2	2	7	-9	8
19	Nimes	11	1	3	7	-9	6
20	Dijon	11	1	2	8	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.