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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
Sturm Graz
T U U S S
1–2
Full-time
A. Klagenfurt
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz A. Klagenfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 47%
61%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
56%
61%
Average goals
2,3
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%
16 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · A. Klagenfurt 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 18 14 3 1 +30 45
2 Sturm Graz 18 11 6 1 +17 39
3 LASK 19 9 7 3 +11 34
4 SK Rapid 18 8 3 7 +9 27
5 Tirol 18 8 3 7 +0 27
6 Austria Vienna 18 7 5 6 +1 26
7 A. Klagenfurt 18 6 3 9 -8 21
8 A. Lustenau 19 5 6 8 -9 21
9 Wolfsberger AC 18 6 2 10 -3 20
10 Altach 18 4 3 11 -18 15
11 Ried 18 3 5 10 -13 14
12 Hartberg 18 4 2 12 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Sep -22 A. Klagenfurt – Sturm Graz 0–2 8. May -22 A. Klagenfurt – Sturm Graz 1–2 20. Mar -22 Sturm Graz – A. Klagenfurt 3–1 12. Dec -21 A. Klagenfurt – Sturm Graz 0–3 12. Sep -21 Sturm Graz – A. Klagenfurt 2–1

Match report

Sturm Graz A. Klagenfurt
1–0 D. Affengruber ⚽
M. Sarkaria
11′
13′
⚽ D. Affengruber 2–0
own goal
16′
🟨 Simon Straudi
Half-time 2–0
A. Danté 🔁
↦ D. Schnegg
46′
54′
⚽ M. Pink 2–1
S. Straudi
62′
🔁 C. Wernitznig
↦ V. Demaku
S. Ingolitsch 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
65′
I. Ljubic 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
65′
L. Grgic 🔁
↦ A. Borković
73′
78′
🔁 F. Jaritz
↦ N. Binder
93′
🔁 A. Irving
↦ R. Benatelli
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 A. Okonkwo G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
6 A. Borković D
28 D. Schnegg D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
11 M. Sarkaria M
17 Bryan Teixeira F
20 E. Emegha F
Bench (7)
44 A. Danté
24 S. Ingolitsch
30 I. Ljubic
38 L. Grgic
27 J. Siebenhandl
29 M. Fuseini
25 S. Hierländer

Coach: C. Ilzer

A. Klagenfurt

3-5-2
13 P. Menzel G
8 K. Gkezos D
31 T. Mahrer D
37 N. Wimmer D
17 S. Straudi M
20 R. Benatelli M
21 V. Demaku M
14 C. Cvetko M
33 T. Schumacher M
16 N. Binder F
32 M. Pink F
Bench (7)
24 C. Wernitznig
7 F. Jaritz
19 A. Irving
5 M. Blauensteiner
1 M. Knaller
6 M. Moreira
11 S. Soto

Coach: P. Pacult

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.