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2. Bundesliga
Referee: E Weisbach
Hertha
S S S T T
2–2
Full-time
Ulm
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Ulm
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 30%
42%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
58%
42%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
1,9
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
14 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 11. · Ulm 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 13 6 6 1 +6 24
2 Hannover 12 7 1 4 +6 22
3 FC Koln 13 6 3 4 +5 21
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 6 3 3 +5 21
5 Karlsruhe 12 5 5 2 +3 20
6 Hamburg 12 5 4 3 +9 19
7 Elversberg 12 5 4 3 +8 19
8 Nurnberg 13 5 3 5 +3 18
9 Magdeburg 12 4 6 2 +3 18
10 Kaiserslautern 12 4 5 3 +2 17
11 Hertha 12 5 2 5 +0 17
12 Darmstadt 12 4 4 4 +3 16
13 Greuther Furth 12 3 4 5 -5 13
14 Schalke 04 12 3 3 6 -3 12
15 Braunschweig 12 3 3 6 -10 12
16 Preußen Münster 13 2 5 6 -5 11
17 Ulm 12 2 4 6 -3 10
18 Regensburg 12 2 1 9 -27 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Ulm
Marten Winkler 🟨
2′
1–0 I. Maza
P. Klemens
6′
P. Dárdai 🔁
↦ M. Winkler
32′
33′
🟨 Philipp Maier
38′
S. Telalović 1–1
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 L. Hyryläinen
↦ P. Maier
51′
🔁 M. Krattenmacher
↦ L. Ulrich
2–1 D. Scherhant
52′
55′
🟨 Semir Telalović
59′
M. Krattenmacher 2–2
T. Gaal
L. Gechter 🔁
↦ D. Zeefuik
62′
63′
🔁 A. Kahvić
↦ S. Telalović
63′
🔁 L. Röser
↦ F. Higl
72′
🟨 Max Brandt
Márton Dárdai 🟨
76′
76′
🟨 Lucas Röser
L. Schuler 🔁
↦ D. Scherhant
78′
J. Þorsteinsson 🔁
↦ K. Sessa
78′
Florian Niederlechner 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 R. Rösch
↦ J. Meier
Michaël Cuisance ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
89′
Jonjoe Kenny 🟨
96′
97′
🟨 Maurice Krattenmacher
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 T. Ernst G
16 J. Kenny D
41 P. Klemens D
31 M. Dárdai D
42 D. Zeefuik D
27 M. Cuisance M
8 K. Sessa M
22 M. Winkler M
10 I. Maza M
39 D. Scherhant M
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
20 P. Dárdai
44 L. Gechter
18 L. Schuler
24 J. Þorsteinsson
43 T. Goller
14 B. Hussein
9 S. Prevljak
5 A. Bouchalakis
26 G. Christensen

Coach: C. Fiél

Ulm

3-4-1-2
1 N. Thiede G
7 B. Allgeier D
4 T. Gaal D
27 N. Kolbe D
19 J. Meier M
26 P. Maier M
23 M. Brandt M
16 A. Keller M
20 L. Ulrich F
29 S. Telalović F
33 F. Higl F
Bench (9)
38 L. Hyryläinen
30 M. Krattenmacher
22 A. Kahvić
9 L. Röser
43 R. Rösch
11 D. Chessa
44 N. Castelle
10 A. Ludwig
12 M. Seybold

Coach: T. Wörle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,63
U ✓
3,94
B
5,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Weisbach · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.