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2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
S S S T T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 40%
38%
42%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 2
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Holstein Kiel 8. · Greuther Furth 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bielefeld 24 14 8 2 +26 50
2 Hamburg 25 12 8 5 +20 44
3 Stuttgart 24 13 5 6 +13 44
4 Heidenheim 25 11 8 6 +8 41
5 Darmstadt 25 8 12 5 +0 36
6 Greuther Furth 24 10 5 9 +4 35
7 Erzgebirge Aue 24 9 7 8 +1 34
8 Holstein Kiel 24 9 6 9 +0 33
9 Hannover 25 8 8 9 -3 32
10 Regensburg 25 9 5 11 -6 32
11 St Pauli 24 7 8 9 +1 29
12 Osnabruck 25 7 8 10 -3 29
13 Nurnberg 25 7 8 10 -11 29
14 Sandhausen 24 6 10 8 -3 28
15 Bochum 25 6 10 9 -5 28
16 Wehen 25 6 7 12 -12 25
17 Karlsruhe 25 5 9 11 -13 24
18 Dresden 24 5 6 13 -17 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U ✓
3,62
B
4,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.