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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Jöllenbeck
1–0
Full-time
Hamburg
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
20%
67%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
67%
47%
Both score Ø 64%
80%
47%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
6 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 15. · Hamburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 15 9 5 1 +11 32
2 Hamburg 15 10 1 4 +9 31
3 Heidenheim 15 7 6 2 +11 27
4 Hannover 16 8 3 5 +7 27
5 Paderborn 16 8 2 6 +14 26
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 8 2 6 +7 26
7 Kaiserslautern 16 6 8 2 +5 26
8 Holstein Kiel 16 6 6 4 +2 24
9 Regensburg 15 5 3 7 -9 18
10 Karlsruhe 16 5 2 9 -4 17
11 Braunschweig 15 4 5 6 -7 17
12 Hansa Rostock 15 5 2 8 -7 17
13 Magdeburg 15 5 2 8 -10 17
14 St Pauli 16 3 7 6 -2 16
15 Greuther Furth 15 3 7 5 -5 16
16 Sandhausen 15 4 4 7 -5 16
17 Nurnberg 15 4 3 8 -10 15
18 Bielefeld 16 4 2 10 -7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Hamburg
1–0 A. Sieb
S. Asta
8′
Max Christiansen 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Jean-Luc Dompe
Damian Michalski 🟨
49′
57′
🟨 Sonny Kittel
58′
🔁 X. Amaechi
↦ J. Dompé
Sebastian Griesbeck 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 László Bénes
T. Tillman 🔁
↦ A. Sieb
65′
68′
🟨 Jonas Meffert
73′
🔁 A. Suhonen
↦ L. Reis
G. Jung 🔁
↦ D. Michalski
75′
D. Abiama 🔁
↦ R. Ache
75′
81′
🔁 F. Bilbija
↦ S. Kittel
81′
🔁 T. Sanne
↦ J. Meffert
Timothy Tillman 🟥
87′
87′
🟨 Daniel Heuer Fernandes
M. Meyerhöfer 🔁
↦ S. Asta
90′
Simon Asta ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
91′
94′
🟨 Xavier Amaechi
Branimir Hrgota 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
1 A. Linde G
22 S. Griesbeck D
4 D. Michalski D
5 O. Haddadi D
2 S. Asta M
13 M. Christiansen M
20 T. Raschl M
24 M. John M
10 B. Hrgota F
39 R. Ache F
30 A. Sieb F
Bench (9)
21 T. Tillman
23 G. Jung
11 D. Abiama
18 M. Meyerhöfer
25 L. Schaffran
9 Afimico Pululu
37 J. Green
8 N. Seufert
3 O. Mhamdi

Coach: A. Zorniger

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer G
11 R. Königsdörffer D
44 M. Vušković D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
14 L. Reis M
23 J. Meffert M
8 L. Bénes M
10 S. Kittel F
9 R. Glatzel F
27 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
17 X. Amaechi
36 A. Suhonen
7 F. Bilbija
45 T. Sanne
37 V. Zumberi
34 J. David
43 B. Andresen
2 W. Mikelbrencis
19 M. Raab

Coach: T. Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,23
U
3,55
B
2,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.