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2. Bundesliga

Referee: A Sather

St Pauli

S T T U T

0–0

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

53%

73%

Both score Ø 67%

53%

80%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 10

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 16. · Holstein Kiel 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	15	9	5	1	+11	32
2	Hamburg	15	10	1	4	+9	31
3	Heidenheim	15	7	6	2	+11	27
4	Paderborn	15	8	2	5	+16	26
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	2	5	+9	26
6	Hannover	15	7	3	5	+5	24
7	Kaiserslautern	15	5	8	2	+3	23
8	Holstein Kiel	15	6	5	4	+2	23
9	Regensburg	15	5	3	7	-9	18
10	Karlsruhe	15	5	2	8	-2	17
11	Braunschweig	15	4	5	6	-7	17
12	Hansa Rostock	15	5	2	8	-7	17
13	Magdeburg	15	5	2	8	-10	17
14	Greuther Furth	15	3	7	5	-5	16
15	Sandhausen	15	4	4	7	-5	16
16	St Pauli	15	3	6	6	-2	15
17	Nurnberg	15	4	3	8	-10	15
18	Bielefeld	15	3	2	10	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	8	6	0	2	+17	18
2	Darmstadt	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	Heidenheim	7	5	2	0	+10	17
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	5	1	1	+10	16
5	Hannover	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	St Pauli	7	3	4	0	+7	13
7	Hamburg	8	4	1	3	+3	13
8	Regensburg	8	3	3	2	-4	12
9	Holstein Kiel	7	3	2	2	+4	11
10	Sandhausen	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Greuther Furth	8	2	5	1	+0	11
12	Braunschweig	8	3	2	3	+0	11
13	Karlsruhe	8	3	1	4	-1	10
14	Kaiserslautern	8	2	4	2	-2	10
15	Bielefeld	7	3	0	4	+0	9
16	Hansa Rostock	8	3	0	5	-3	9
17	Nurnberg	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Magdeburg	7	2	1	4	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Darmstadt	7	4	2	1	+2	14
3	Kaiserslautern	7	3	4	0	+5	13
4	Holstein Kiel	8	3	3	2	-2	12
5	Hannover	8	3	1	4	+1	10
6	Heidenheim	8	2	4	2	+1	10
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	1	4	-1	10
8	Magdeburg	8	3	1	4	-4	10
9	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Hansa Rostock	7	2	2	3	-4	8
11	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Karlsruhe	7	2	1	4	-1	7
13	Regensburg	7	2	0	5	-5	6
14	Braunschweig	7	1	3	3	-7	6
15	Greuther Furth	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Sandhausen	8	1	2	5	-6	5
17	St Pauli	8	0	2	6	-9	2
18	Bielefeld	8	0	2	6	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.