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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

U U S U U

4–1

Full-time

Regensburg

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Regensburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 43%

31%

54%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

46%

69%

Both score Ø 74%

85%

62%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

15 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 6

8 Corners 8

13 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 7. · Regensburg 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	8	2	2	+17	26
2	Regensburg	13	7	4	2	+14	25
3	Paderborn	14	7	4	3	+12	25
4	Nurnberg	14	6	6	2	+7	24
5	Darmstadt	13	7	2	4	+15	23
6	Schalke 04	13	7	1	5	+6	22
7	Hamburg	13	4	8	1	+5	20
8	Werder Bremen	13	5	4	4	+0	19
9	Heidenheim	13	5	3	5	-6	18
10	Karlsruhe	13	4	5	4	+0	17
11	Hansa Rostock	13	5	2	6	-6	17
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	4	5	-1	16
13	Hannover	14	3	5	6	-8	14
14	Holstein Kiel	13	3	5	5	-9	14
15	Dresden	13	4	1	8	-4	13
16	Sandhausen	13	3	3	7	-12	12
17	Erzgebirge Aue	13	2	5	6	-8	11
18	Ingolstadt	13	1	2	10	-22	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	6	6	0	0	+16	18
2	Darmstadt	6	5	0	1	+13	15
3	Regensburg	7	4	2	1	+8	14
4	Nurnberg	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Heidenheim	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	Schalke 04	7	3	1	3	+3	10
7	Dresden	6	3	0	3	+3	9
8	Karlsruhe	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Werder Bremen	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Hamburg	6	1	5	0	+1	8
11	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Erzgebirge Aue	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Hannover	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Hansa Rostock	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Holstein Kiel	7	2	1	4	-7	7
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	1	3	2	+0	6
17	Ingolstadt	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Sandhausen	7	0	2	5	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Hamburg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
3	Schalke 04	6	4	0	2	+3	12
4	Regensburg	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Werder Bremen	7	3	2	2	-1	11
6	Nurnberg	7	2	4	1	+0	10
7	Sandhausen	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	Hansa Rostock	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	Darmstadt	7	2	2	3	+2	8
11	St Pauli	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Karlsruhe	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Holstein Kiel	6	1	4	1	-2	7
14	Hannover	7	1	3	3	-5	6
15	Heidenheim	6	2	0	4	-7	6
16	Dresden	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	Erzgebirge Aue	6	0	3	3	-5	3
18	Ingolstadt	7	1	0	6	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.