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Süper Lig
Referee: T Numanoğlu
Hatayspor
S S U S T
3–1
Full-time
Antalyaspor
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Antalyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
58%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 2. · Antalyaspor 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 12 9 3 0 +13 30
2 Hatayspor 12 7 2 3 +11 23
3 Konyaspor 12 6 5 1 +8 23
4 Galatasaray 12 6 3 3 +3 21
5 Alanyaspor 12 6 3 3 -1 21
6 Besiktas 12 6 2 4 +6 20
7 Fenerbahce 12 6 2 4 +2 20
8 Karagumruk 12 5 4 3 +3 19
9 Buyuksehyr 12 6 0 6 +3 18
10 Ad. Demirspor 12 4 4 4 +0 16
11 Altay 12 5 1 6 -1 16
12 Gaziantep 12 4 3 5 -2 15
13 Kayserispor 12 4 3 5 -3 15
14 Antalyaspor 12 4 3 5 -3 15
15 Sivasspor 12 2 7 3 +2 13
16 Yeni Malatyaspor 12 4 0 8 -10 12
17 Giresunspor 12 2 4 6 -5 10
18 Kasimpasa 12 2 3 7 -6 9
19 Goztep 12 2 3 7 -7 9
20 Rizespor 12 2 1 9 -13 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Antalyaspor
Burak Oksuz 🟨
21′
35′
🟨 Doğukan Sinik
40′
🟨 Paul Omo Mukairu
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. El Kaabi
Rúben Ribeiro
46′
48′
P. Mukairu 1–1
61′
🔁 E. Zehir
↦ A. Poli
D. Saint-Louis 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
66′
M. Kamara 🔁
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
67′
67′
🔁 G. Bayrakdar
↦ P. Mukairu
2–1 Rúben Ribeiro
69′
76′
🔁 H. Ghacha
↦ Amilton
77′
🔁 D. Milošević
↦ D. Sinik
Fatih Kurucuk 🟨
79′
Mohammed Kesselly Kamara ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
82′
3–1 M. Diouf
85′
88′
🟨 Ersin Zehir
I. Sackey 🔁
↦ N. Traoré
90′
S. Baş 🔁
↦ M. Diouf
93′
M. Mert 🔁
↦ M. Boudjemaa
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
22 F. Kurucuk D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
17 N. Traoré M
8 M. Boudjemaa M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi M
Bench (10)
95 D. Saint-Louis
20 M. Kamara
19 M. Mert
5 I. Sackey
77 S. Baş
6 S. Falette
61 B. Cevahir
87 E. Fansa
2 B. Çamoglu
31 A. Yiğiter

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Antalyaspor

3-4-2-1
25 R. Boffin G
13 F. Kudryashov D
89 V. Sarı D
4 Naldo D
77 B. Balcı M
15 A. Poli M
11 G. Vural F
16 Fredy M
7 D. Sinik M
23 Amilton F
12 P. Mukairu F
Bench (10)
18 E. Zehir
41 G. Bayrakdar
27 H. Ghacha
10 D. Milošević
1 D. Özkan
8 N. Şahin
2 S. Floranus
5 B. Öztürk
6 E. Albayrak
99 Diogo Sousa

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,80
U
3,63
B
4,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,94
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Numanoğlu · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.