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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Muñiz
Sevilla
S S U S S
2–2
Full-time
Alaves
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 29%
33%
25%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

68% Possession 32%
16 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 3. · Alaves 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 13 8 4 1 +9 28
2 Real Madrid 12 8 3 1 +15 27
3 Sevilla 12 8 3 1 +14 27
4 Ath Madrid 12 6 5 1 +8 23
5 Betis 13 6 3 4 +2 21
6 Vallecano 13 6 2 5 +5 20
7 Ath Bilbao 13 4 7 2 +3 19
8 Osasuna 13 5 4 4 -3 19
9 Barcelona 12 4 5 3 +4 17
10 Valencia 13 4 5 4 +1 17
11 Espanol 13 4 5 4 +1 17
12 Villarreal 13 3 7 3 +2 16
13 Mallorca 13 3 6 4 -6 15
14 Celta 14 3 4 7 -4 13
15 Alaves 12 4 1 7 -7 13
16 Cadiz 13 2 6 5 -7 12
17 Granada 12 2 5 5 -5 11
18 Elche 13 2 5 6 -6 11
19 Levante 14 0 7 7 -13 7
20 Getafe 13 1 3 9 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Alaves
5′
Laguardia 0–1
Toni Moya
1–1 L. Ocampos
G. Montiel
38′
45′
🟨 Mamadou Loum
Half-time 1–1
I. Rakitić 🔁
↦ Óliver Torres
46′
Suso 🔁
↦ L. Augustinsson
46′
49′
ℹ️ Toni Moya
VAR: Penalty awarded
50′
🟨 Rubén Duarte
Lucas Ocampos 🟨
51′
52′
Joselu 1–2
M. Acuña 🔁
↦ O. Idrissi
54′
59′
🔁 Pina
↦ M. Loum
Rafa Mir 🟨
60′
A. Gómez 🔁
↦ G. Montiel
68′
M. El-Haddadi 🔁
↦ Suso
68′
73′
🟨 Edgar Méndez
73′
🔁 M. Miazga
↦ Edgar Méndez
86′
🔁 Manu García
↦ Luis Rioja
86′
🔁 Miguel de la Fuente
↦ Pere Pons
89′
🟨 Florian Lejeune
2–2 I. Rakitić
92′
Fernando 🟨
95′
Ivan Rakitić 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Y. Bounou G
3 L. Augustinsson D
20 Diego Carlos D
2 G. Montiel D
23 J. Koundé D
25 Fernando M
5 L. Ocampos F
21 Óliver Torres M
8 Joan Jordán M
22 O. Idrissi F
12 Rafa Mir F
Bench (11)
10 I. Rakitić
7 Suso
19 M. Acuña
24 A. Gómez
11 M. El-Haddadi
31 Javi Díaz
6 N. Gudelj
14 Óscar Rodríguez
36 Iván Romero
1 M. Dmitrović
4 K. Rekik

Coach: Lopetegui

Alaves

4-1-4-1
1 Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
22 F. Lejeune D
3 Rubén Duarte D
21 Martín Aguirregabiria D
17 Edgar Méndez M
20 Pere Pons M
15 Toni Moya M
6 M. Loum M
9 Joselu F
11 Luis Rioja M
Bench (12)
8 Pina
4 M. Miazga
14 Manu García
24 Miguel de la Fuente
2 Alberto Rodríguez
27 Javi López
13 Sivera
7 M. Sylla
10 J. Guidetti
18 F. Pellistri
19 Iván Martín
12 Saúl García

Coach: Javi Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,42
U ✓
4,46
B
8,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.