OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Strommen
Grorud
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ham-Kam
|
28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | +39 | 63 |
| 2 |
Aalesund
|
28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | +24 | 55 |
| 3 |
Jerv
|
27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | +4 | 50 |
| 4 |
Fredrikstad
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +16 | 46 |
| 5 |
Sogndal
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +8 | 41 |
| 6 |
Asane
|
28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | -9 | 38 |
| 7 |
Sandnes ULF
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 37 |
| 8 |
Start
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | +0 | 36 |
| 9 |
KFUM Oslo
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 |
Raufoss
|
28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 |
Ranheim
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 |
Bryne
|
28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | -4 | 34 |
| 13 |
Grorud
|
28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | -15 | 31 |
| 14 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 |
Ull/Kisa
|
28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -15 | 26 |
| 16 |
Strommen
|
28 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -17 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Raufoss
Strommen
Strommen
Ull/Kisa
Start
Strommen
Strommen
Sogndal
Fredrikstad
Strommen
M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.