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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola

Celta

T S T U U

1–1

Full-time

Villarreal

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 24%

23%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

38%

42%

Both score Ø 37%

31%

42%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

6 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 15. · Villarreal 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	13	8	4	1	+9	28
2	Real Madrid	12	8	3	1	+15	27
3	Sevilla	12	8	3	1	+14	27
4	Ath Madrid	12	6	5	1	+8	23
5	Betis	13	6	3	4	+2	21
6	Vallecano	13	6	2	5	+5	20
7	Ath Bilbao	13	4	7	2	+3	19
8	Osasuna	13	5	4	4	-3	19
9	Barcelona	12	4	5	3	+4	17
10	Valencia	13	4	5	4	+1	17
11	Espanol	13	4	5	4	+1	17
12	Villarreal	12	3	6	3	+2	15
13	Mallorca	13	3	6	4	-6	15
14	Alaves	12	4	1	7	-7	13
15	Celta	13	3	3	7	-4	12
16	Cadiz	13	2	6	5	-7	12
17	Granada	12	2	5	5	-5	11
18	Elche	13	2	5	6	-6	11
19	Levante	14	0	7	7	-13	7
20	Getafe	13	1	3	9	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Sevilla	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Espanol	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Sociedad	6	4	2	0	+4	14
6	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+6	12
7	Valencia	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+9	11
9	Villarreal	6	3	2	1	+5	11
10	Betis	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+2	10
12	Mallorca	7	2	4	1	+1	10
13	Alaves	7	3	0	4	-4	9
14	Elche	6	1	4	1	+0	7
15	Osasuna	7	1	3	3	-6	6
16	Granada	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Levante	7	0	5	2	-5	5
18	Celta	7	1	1	5	-5	4
19	Getafe	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Cadiz	7	0	4	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Sociedad	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Osasuna	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Sevilla	7	3	3	1	+3	12
5	Ath Madrid	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Betis	6	3	1	2	-1	10
7	Ath Bilbao	7	1	6	0	+1	9
8	Celta	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Cadiz	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	Granada	7	1	3	3	-4	6
11	Valencia	6	1	2	3	-4	5
12	Mallorca	6	1	2	3	-7	5
13	Villarreal	6	0	4	2	-3	4
14	Alaves	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Vallecano	7	1	1	5	-6	4
16	Elche	7	1	1	5	-6	4
17	Barcelona	5	0	3	2	-3	3
18	Espanol	6	0	3	3	-4	3
19	Levante	7	0	2	5	-8	2
20	Getafe	7	0	2	5	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.