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Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
S U T U U
3–1
Full-time
Wisla
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Wisla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
29%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
64%
36%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 10. · Wisla 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 14 8 5 1 +20 29
2 Lechia Gdansk 14 8 5 1 +14 29
3 Pogon Szczecin 14 7 5 2 +12 26
4 Rakow 13 7 5 1 +8 26
5 Radomiak Radom 14 5 7 2 +5 22
6 Slask Wroclaw 14 5 6 3 +5 21
7 Wisla Plock 15 6 2 7 +1 20
8 Stal Mielec 14 5 5 4 -1 20
9 Piast Gliwice 14 5 3 6 +1 18
10 Jagiellonia 14 4 6 4 -3 18
11 Cracovia 14 4 5 5 -2 17
12 Zaglebie 13 5 2 6 -5 17
13 Wisla 14 5 2 7 -8 17
14 Gornik Zabrze 13 4 3 6 -3 15
15 Nieciecza 13 2 5 6 -5 11
16 Warta Poznan 15 2 5 8 -9 11
17 Legia 12 3 0 9 -10 9
18 Leczna 14 1 5 8 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.