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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Heracles
S T T U T
3–1
Full-time
For Sittard
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
27%
18%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
36%
64%
Both score Ø 59%
45%
73%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
19 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 14. · For Sittard 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 10 0 3 +13 30
2 Ajax 12 8 3 1 +35 27
3 Feyenoord 11 8 1 2 +14 25
4 Utrecht 11 7 2 2 +14 23
5 Twente 13 6 3 4 +2 21
6 Nijmegen 13 5 4 4 -2 19
7 Vitesse 12 6 1 5 -8 19
8 Cambuur 12 6 0 6 -5 18
9 Willem II 12 5 3 4 -5 18
10 Go Ahead Eagles 12 5 2 5 -5 17
11 Heerenveen 11 4 2 5 -3 14
12 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 1 6 +2 13
13 Waalwijk 12 2 5 5 -3 11
14 Heracles 11 3 2 6 -5 11
15 Groningen 12 2 5 5 -8 11
16 Sparta Rotterdam 13 2 4 7 -9 10
17 For Sittard 11 2 3 6 -12 9
18 Zwolle 12 1 1 10 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles For Sittard
1–0 I. Azzaoui
E. Sierra
6′
9′
Z. Flemming 1–1
B. Rienstra
27′
🟨 Martin Angha
2–1 I. Azzaoui
30′
41′
🟨 Ben Rienstra
42′
🟨 Arianit Ferati
Half-time 2–1
N. Laursen 🔁
↦ E. Sierra
67′
3–1 K. Sierhuis
67′
74′
🔁 T. Lake
↦ A. Ferati
74′
🔁 N. Lonwijk
↦ M. Tirpan
74′
🔁 D. Duarte
↦ B. Rienstra
Delano Burgzorg 🟨
78′
80′
🔁 E. Hansson
↦ T. Noslin
81′
🟨 Zian Flemming
O. Kiomourtzoglou 🔁
↦ I. Azzaoui
87′
S. Bakış 🔁
↦ K. Sierhuis
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 J. Blaswich G
13 M. Knoester D
5 M. Rente D
23 N. Fadiga D
12 R. Roosken D
15 L. Schoofs M
14 L. de la Torre M
8 E. Sierra M
18 I. Azzaoui M
16 K. Sierhuis F
37 D. Burgzorg M
Bench (12)
11 N. Laursen
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou
9 S. Bakış
7 B. Başacıkoğlu
34 A. Damen
26 K. Bucker
27 M. İbrahimoğlu
22 M. Leš
25 R. Polley
19 N. Bakboord
31 R. Ağca
30 M. Amissi

Coach: F. Wormuth

For Sittard

4-2-3-1
1 Y. van Osch G
4 R. Janssen D
2 M. Angha D
25 M. Tirpan D
35 G. Cox D
23 B. Rienstra M
10 M. Seuntjens M
14 T. Tekie M
19 A. Ferati M
8 Z. Flemming F
77 T. Noslin M
Bench (11)
39 T. Lake
18 N. Lonwijk
6 D. Duarte
11 E. Hansson
45 B. Sambou
30 R. van Kouwen
21 Y. Çeltik
29 R. Musaba
12 Ivo Pinto
24 S. Baghdadi
32 F. Dornebusch

Coach: S. Ultee

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
3,96
B
5,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,18
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.