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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

S U U U S

1–1

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

36%

18%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

55%

73%

Both score Ø 64%

82%

45%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

5 Corners 8

14 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 7. · Holstein Kiel 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	8	2	2	+17	26
2	Regensburg	11	6	4	1	+12	22
3	Schalke 04	12	7	1	4	+8	22
4	Nurnberg	12	5	6	1	+7	21
5	Darmstadt	12	6	2	4	+13	20
6	Paderborn	11	5	3	3	+9	18
7	Hamburg	11	4	6	1	+5	18
8	Heidenheim	12	5	3	4	-4	18
9	Karlsruhe	11	4	4	3	+2	16
10	Werder Bremen	12	4	4	4	-1	16
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	4	3	4	+0	15
12	Dresden	12	4	1	7	-3	13
13	Hannover	12	3	3	6	-8	12
14	Sandhausen	12	3	3	6	-11	12
15	Hansa Rostock	11	3	2	6	-8	11
16	Holstein Kiel	11	2	4	5	-10	10
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	1	5	6	-10	8
18	Ingolstadt	11	1	2	8	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	6	6	0	0	+16	18
2	Darmstadt	6	5	0	1	+13	15
3	Regensburg	6	4	2	0	+9	14
4	Nurnberg	6	4	2	0	+8	14
5	Heidenheim	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	Schalke 04	6	3	1	2	+5	10
7	Dresden	6	3	0	3	+3	9
8	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Werder Bremen	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Hamburg	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Hannover	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Paderborn	6	1	2	3	-1	5
14	Erzgebirge Aue	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Hansa Rostock	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	Ingolstadt	5	0	2	3	-5	2
18	Sandhausen	6	0	2	4	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Schalke 04	6	4	0	2	+3	12
3	Hamburg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Sandhausen	6	3	1	2	+0	10
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Regensburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	St Pauli	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Karlsruhe	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Werder Bremen	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	Nurnberg	6	1	4	1	-1	7
11	Hansa Rostock	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Holstein Kiel	5	1	3	1	-2	6
13	Heidenheim	5	2	0	3	-5	6
14	Darmstadt	6	1	2	3	+0	5
15	Hannover	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Dresden	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Erzgebirge Aue	6	0	3	3	-5	3
18	Ingolstadt	6	1	0	5	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.