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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Hamburg

U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

38%

Points per game

0,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,6

1,8

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

3 Corners 7

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 18. · Hamburg 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	St Pauli	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	Heidenheim	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Paderborn	8	4	2	2	+9	14
5	Nurnberg	8	3	5	0	+4	14
6	Dresden	8	4	1	3	+5	13
7	Hamburg	8	3	4	1	+4	13
8	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+2	13
9	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Werder Bremen	8	3	2	3	-1	11
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Darmstadt	8	3	1	4	+3	10
13	Hannover	8	3	1	4	-5	10
14	Holstein Kiel	8	2	2	4	-8	8
15	Hansa Rostock	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Sandhausen	8	2	1	5	-7	7
17	Ingolstadt	8	1	1	6	-14	4
18	Erzgebirge Aue	8	0	3	5	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Regensburg	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Nurnberg	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Darmstadt	4	3	0	1	+8	9
5	Dresden	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Heidenheim	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	Hamburg	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Hannover	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Karlsruhe	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Werder Bremen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Holstein Kiel	4	1	0	3	-6	3
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Ingolstadt	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Erzgebirge Aue	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Sandhausen	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Schalke 04	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	3	0	2	+0	9
4	Hamburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Regensburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Karlsruhe	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Heidenheim	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Sandhausen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Holstein Kiel	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Nurnberg	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Dresden	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	St Pauli	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Hansa Rostock	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Hannover	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Ingolstadt	4	1	0	3	-9	3
17	Erzgebirge Aue	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Darmstadt	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.