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Premiership

Referee: W Collum

Motherwell

T T U T S

2–0

Full-time

Hearts

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,7

This season — Premiership · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

38%

46%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

46%

Both score Ø 66%

62%

69%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

20 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Motherwell 5. · Hearts 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	13	9	3	1	+16	30
2	Celtic	13	8	2	3	+21	26
3	Hearts	13	6	6	1	+11	24
4	Dundee United	13	6	3	4	+0	21
5	Motherwell	13	5	3	5	-4	18
6	Hibernian	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Aberdeen	13	4	3	6	-3	15
8	St Mirren	13	3	6	4	-6	15
9	ST Johnstone	13	3	5	5	-4	14
10	Livingston	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Dundee	13	2	4	7	-16	10
12	Ross County	12	1	3	8	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hearts	7	4	3	0	+9	15
2	Rangers	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Celtic	6	4	2	0	+17	14
4	Dundee United	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Hibernian	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Aberdeen	7	3	1	3	+0	10
7	Motherwell	7	3	1	3	-4	10
8	ST Johnstone	7	1	3	3	-3	6
9	Dundee	7	1	3	3	-7	6
10	St Mirren	6	1	2	3	-2	5
11	Livingston	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Ross County	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	6	5	0	1	+9	15
2	Celtic	7	4	0	3	+4	12
3	St Mirren	7	2	4	1	-4	10
4	Hearts	6	2	3	1	+2	9
5	Dundee United	7	2	3	2	-1	9
6	Motherwell	6	2	2	2	+0	8
7	ST Johnstone	6	2	2	2	-1	8
8	Livingston	7	2	2	3	-4	8
9	Hibernian	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Aberdeen	6	1	2	3	-3	5
11	Ross County	7	1	1	5	-5	4
12	Dundee	6	1	1	4	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.