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Championship

Referee: A Woolmer

Reading

T T T T S

1–1

Full-time

Nott'm Forest

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Nott'm Forest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

This season — Championship · 18/15 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

61%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Reading 14. · Nott'm Forest 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	18	13	2	3	+31	41
2	Bournemouth	18	12	5	1	+21	41
3	West Brom	18	10	5	3	+13	35
4	Coventry	19	10	4	5	+7	34
5	Stoke	18	9	4	5	+5	31
6	QPR	19	8	5	6	+5	29
7	Luton	18	7	5	6	+5	26
8	Blackburn	17	7	5	5	+2	26
9	Swansea	18	7	5	6	+1	26
10	Huddersfield	16	7	4	5	+3	25
11	Middlesbrough	18	7	4	7	+2	25
12	Millwall	17	6	7	4	+0	25
13	Blackpool	17	7	4	6	-1	25
14	Reading	18	8	1	9	-4	25
15	Preston	18	6	6	6	-3	24
16	Sheffield United	18	6	4	8	+0	22
17	Birmingham	18	6	4	8	-4	22
18	Bristol City	18	6	4	8	-7	22
19	Nott'm Forest	15	5	3	7	-1	18
20	Derby	18	3	9	6	-4	18
21	Cardiff	18	4	4	10	-14	16
22	Peterborough	17	4	3	10	-15	15
23	Peterboro	18	4	3	11	-17	15
24	Hull	18	3	3	12	-12	12
25	Barnsley	17	2	5	10	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	10	8	1	1	+14	25
2	West Brom	9	6	3	0	+11	21
3	Bournemouth	9	6	2	1	+12	20
4	Stoke	9	6	2	1	+7	20
5	Fulham	8	6	1	1	+14	19
6	Swansea	9	5	3	1	+9	18
7	QPR	9	5	3	1	+7	18
8	Preston	9	5	3	1	+4	18
9	Luton	9	5	2	2	+8	17
10	Blackburn	9	5	2	2	+3	17
11	Middlesbrough	9	5	1	3	+5	16
12	Huddersfield	7	5	1	1	+5	16
13	Reading	9	5	1	3	+3	16
14	Millwall	9	4	3	2	+1	15
15	Sheffield United	10	4	2	4	+6	14
16	Blackpool	9	4	1	4	-2	13
17	Peterboro	9	3	3	3	+2	12
18	Peterborough	9	3	3	3	+2	12
19	Derby	8	2	5	1	+1	11
20	Birmingham	9	3	2	4	-3	11
21	Barnsley	9	2	2	5	-5	8
22	Bristol City	8	1	4	3	-3	7
23	Nott'm Forest	8	2	1	5	-5	7
24	Cardiff	9	2	1	6	-7	7
25	Hull	9	1	2	6	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	10	7	1	2	+17	22
2	Bournemouth	9	6	3	0	+9	21
3	Bristol City	10	5	0	5	-4	15
4	West Brom	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Blackpool	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	Nott'm Forest	7	3	2	2	+4	11
7	Birmingham	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	QPR	10	3	2	5	-2	11
9	Stoke	9	3	2	4	-2	11
10	Millwall	8	2	4	2	-1	10
11	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Huddersfield	9	2	3	4	-2	9
13	Luton	9	2	3	4	-3	9
14	Middlesbrough	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Cardiff	9	2	3	4	-7	9
16	Reading	9	3	0	6	-7	9
17	Coventry	9	2	3	4	-7	9
18	Sheffield United	8	2	2	4	-6	8
19	Swansea	9	2	2	5	-8	8
20	Derby	10	1	4	5	-5	7
21	Hull	9	2	1	6	-5	7
22	Preston	9	1	3	5	-7	6
23	Barnsley	8	0	3	5	-8	3
24	Peterborough	8	1	0	7	-17	3
25	Peterboro	9	1	0	8	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.