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2. Bundesliga
Ingolstadt
T T T U T
0–3
Full-time
Regensburg
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ingolstadt Regensburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
9%
55%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
64%
64%
Both score Ø 55%
45%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
0,6
2,2
Conceded
2,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 6
12 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ingolstadt 18. · Regensburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 12 8 2 2 +17 26
2 Regensburg 11 6 4 1 +12 22
3 Schalke 04 12 7 1 4 +8 22
4 Nurnberg 12 5 6 1 +7 21
5 Darmstadt 12 6 2 4 +13 20
6 Hamburg 12 4 7 1 +5 19
7 Paderborn 11 5 3 3 +9 18
8 Heidenheim 12 5 3 4 -4 18
9 Karlsruhe 11 4 4 3 +2 16
10 Werder Bremen 12 4 4 4 -1 16
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 4 3 4 +0 15
12 Dresden 12 4 1 7 -3 13
13 Hannover 12 3 3 6 -8 12
14 Sandhausen 12 3 3 6 -11 12
15 Hansa Rostock 11 3 2 6 -8 11
16 Holstein Kiel 12 2 5 5 -10 11
17 Erzgebirge Aue 12 1 5 6 -10 8
18 Ingolstadt 11 1 2 8 -18 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,01
U
3,35
B ✓
2,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.