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2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S U S T S

2–3

Full-time

Werder Bremen

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

15 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 7

3 Corners 5

13 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 7. · Werder Bremen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Heidenheim	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Paderborn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Nurnberg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Ingolstadt	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Darmstadt	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Sandhausen	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Heidenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ingolstadt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Ingolstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.