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2. Bundesliga

Nurnberg

T T T T S

1–2

Full-time

St Pauli

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 28%

30%

25%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

45%

70%

Both score Ø 68%

65%

70%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

16 Shots 21

6 Shots on target 5

4 Corners 8

16 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 12. · St Pauli 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	21	12	6	3	+21	42
2	Holstein Kiel	21	12	6	3	+16	42
3	Greuther Furth	21	11	6	4	+17	39
4	Bochum	20	12	3	5	+16	39
5	Karlsruhe	21	11	3	7	+7	36
6	Hannover	21	10	3	8	+9	33
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	21	9	6	6	+2	33
8	Heidenheim	20	8	5	7	+2	29
9	Erzgebirge Aue	21	8	5	8	+0	29
10	Paderborn	20	7	6	7	+1	27
11	Regensburg	21	6	8	7	-3	26
12	Nurnberg	20	6	5	9	-5	23
13	Darmstadt	20	6	4	10	-5	22
14	St Pauli	20	5	7	8	-6	22
15	Osnabruck	20	6	4	10	-10	22
16	Sandhausen	21	5	3	13	-18	18
17	Braunschweig	20	4	5	11	-22	17
18	Wurzburger Kickers	21	3	3	15	-22	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	11	7	3	1	+13	24
2	Hamburg	11	7	2	2	+16	23
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	6	3	1	+6	21
4	Bochum	10	6	2	2	+13	20
5	Hannover	10	6	2	2	+11	20
6	Holstein Kiel	11	6	2	3	+4	20
7	Erzgebirge Aue	10	5	3	2	+5	18
8	Greuther Furth	10	5	2	3	+6	17
9	Paderborn	9	5	2	2	+4	17
10	Regensburg	11	4	4	3	+2	16
11	Sandhausen	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Karlsruhe	10	4	2	4	+2	14
13	Braunschweig	11	4	2	5	-6	14
14	St Pauli	10	3	3	4	-3	12
15	Nurnberg	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Darmstadt	10	3	2	5	-2	11
17	Wurzburger Kickers	10	2	3	5	-7	9
18	Osnabruck	10	2	1	7	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	10	6	4	0	+12	22
2	Greuther Furth	11	6	4	1	+11	22
3	Karlsruhe	11	7	1	3	+5	22
4	Hamburg	10	5	4	1	+5	19
5	Bochum	10	6	1	3	+3	19
6	Osnabruck	10	4	3	3	-3	15
7	Hannover	11	4	1	6	-2	13
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	3	3	5	-4	12
9	Nurnberg	10	3	2	5	-2	11
10	Darmstadt	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Erzgebirge Aue	11	3	2	6	-5	11
12	St Pauli	10	2	4	4	-3	10
13	Paderborn	11	2	4	5	-3	10
14	Regensburg	10	2	4	4	-5	10
15	Heidenheim	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	Wurzburger Kickers	11	1	0	10	-15	3
17	Braunschweig	9	0	3	6	-16	3
18	Sandhausen	10	1	0	9	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.