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2. Bundesliga

Heidenheim

S T S U T

3–4

Full-time

St Pauli

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 28%

39%

17%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

44%

67%

Both score Ø 53%

39%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

21 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 7

6 Corners 0

20 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heidenheim 10. · St Pauli 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	19	12	4	3	+21	40
2	Bochum	18	11	3	4	+16	36
3	Holstein Kiel	19	10	6	3	+13	36
4	Greuther Furth	19	10	5	4	+14	35
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	9	5	5	+4	32
6	Karlsruhe	18	9	2	7	+5	29
7	Erzgebirge Aue	19	8	4	7	+2	28
8	Hannover	18	8	2	8	+7	26
9	Paderborn	19	7	5	7	+1	26
10	Heidenheim	18	7	5	6	+1	26
11	Regensburg	19	6	6	7	-3	24
12	Darmstadt	19	6	4	9	-4	22
13	Osnabruck	18	6	4	8	-8	22
14	Nurnberg	18	5	5	8	-4	20
15	Braunschweig	19	4	5	10	-21	17
16	St Pauli	18	3	7	8	-8	16
17	Sandhausen	18	4	3	11	-18	15
18	Wurzburger Kickers	19	3	3	13	-18	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	10	7	1	2	+16	22
2	Heidenheim	9	6	3	0	+12	21
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	3	0	+8	21
4	Bochum	9	6	2	1	+14	20
5	Erzgebirge Aue	9	5	2	2	+5	17
6	Paderborn	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Holstein Kiel	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Hannover	8	5	1	2	+10	16
9	Regensburg	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Greuther Furth	9	4	2	3	+3	14
11	Braunschweig	10	4	2	4	-5	14
12	Karlsruhe	9	4	1	4	+2	13
13	Sandhausen	9	3	3	3	-2	12
14	Nurnberg	10	3	3	4	-3	12
15	Darmstadt	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	St Pauli	9	2	3	4	-4	9
17	Wurzburger Kickers	10	2	3	5	-7	9
18	Osnabruck	9	2	1	6	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	10	6	3	1	+11	21
2	Holstein Kiel	9	5	4	0	+10	19
3	Hamburg	9	5	3	1	+5	18
4	Karlsruhe	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Bochum	9	5	1	3	+2	16
6	Osnabruck	9	4	3	2	-2	15
7	Darmstadt	10	3	2	5	-3	11
8	Erzgebirge Aue	10	3	2	5	-3	11
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	2	5	-4	11
10	Hannover	10	3	1	6	-3	10
11	Paderborn	10	2	3	5	-3	9
12	Regensburg	9	2	3	4	-5	9
13	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
14	St Pauli	9	1	4	4	-4	7
15	Heidenheim	9	1	2	6	-11	5
16	Wurzburger Kickers	9	1	0	8	-11	3
17	Braunschweig	9	0	3	6	-16	3
18	Sandhausen	9	1	0	8	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.