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2. Bundesliga
2–4
Full-time
Hamburg
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

21 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 2
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 7. · Hamburg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bielefeld 4 2 2 0 +4 8
2 Stuttgart 4 2 2 0 +2 8
3 Hamburg 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Erzgebirge Aue 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 Greuther Furth 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Osnabruck 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 Karlsruhe 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 Hannover 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Darmstadt 4 1 2 1 -2 5
10 Heidenheim 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Sandhausen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Regensburg 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Holstein Kiel 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Dresden 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Nurnberg 3 1 0 2 -4 3
16 Bochum 4 0 2 2 -3 2
17 St Pauli 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Wehen 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,18
U
3,46
B ✓
2,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,03
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.