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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Middlesbrough
S T S T S
0–1
Full-time
Blackburn
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Championship · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 42%
46%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 48%
42%
54%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 7. · Blackburn 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 25 16 5 4 +14 53
2 Watford 25 13 7 5 +12 46
3 Reading 25 13 5 7 +9 44
4 Bournemouth 24 11 9 4 +18 42
5 Brentford 21 11 7 3 +15 40
6 Swansea 21 11 6 4 +12 39
7 Middlesbrough 24 11 6 7 +10 39
8 Stoke 26 9 10 7 +3 37
9 Bristol City 24 11 3 10 -1 36
10 Preston 26 11 3 12 -2 36
11 Barnsley 23 10 4 9 -1 34
12 Blackburn 24 9 6 9 +11 33
13 Luton 25 9 6 10 -6 33
14 Huddersfield 25 9 4 12 -7 31
15 Cardiff 24 8 5 11 +2 29
16 Millwall 24 6 11 7 -3 29
17 QPR 25 6 9 10 -8 27
18 Coventry 24 6 8 10 -12 26
19 Birmingham 25 6 8 11 -12 26
20 Sheffield Weds 23 6 7 10 -8 25
21 Nott'm Forest 25 6 7 12 -9 25
22 Derby 25 6 7 12 -9 25
23 Rotherham 22 5 5 12 -9 20
24 Wycombe 23 3 6 14 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Blackburn
10′
🔁 J. Buckley
↦ B. Johnson
N. Wood-Gordon 🔁
↦ D. Fry
18′
26′
🟨 Jacob Davenport
Half-time 0–0
Sam Morsy 🟨
57′
63′
J. Rothwell 0–1
H. Elliott
65′
🔁 B. Brereton
↦ H. Elliott
65′
🔁 B. Dack
↦ J. Buckley
65′
🔁 S. Gallagher
↦ J. Rothwell
M. Johnson 🔁
↦ Sam Morsy
72′
A. Fletcher 🔁
↦ D. Watmore
72′
Marcus Tavernier 🟨
81′
P. Roberts 🔁
↦ M. Tavernier
81′
86′
🔁 T. Trybull
↦ J. Davenport
Marc Bola 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

4-3-3
1 M. Bettinelli G
27 M. Bola D
29 D. Spence D
16 J. Howson M
5 Sam Morsy M
17 P. McNair D
18 D. Watmore F
22 G. Saville M
6 D. Fry D
7 M. Tavernier F
9 B. Assombalonga F
Bench (9)
15 N. Wood-Gordon
3 M. Johnson
11 A. Fletcher
19 P. Roberts
8 L. Wing
34 H. Hackney
33 H. Coulson
13 J. Archer
10 C. Akpom

Coach: N. Warnock

Blackburn

4-3-3
1 T. Kaminski G
15 B. Douglas D
26 D. Lenihan D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe D
30 J. Branthwaite D
4 B. Johnson M
8 J. Rothwell F
18 J. Davenport M
16 H. Elliott F
7 A. Armstrong F
Bench (9)
21 J. Buckley
20 B. Brereton
23 B. Dack
9 S. Gallagher
19 T. Trybull
39 T. Dolan
13 A. Pears
17 A. Bell
6 S. Downing

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
U
3,16
B ✓
2,97
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.