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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Bristol City
S S S T T
1–0
Full-time
Blackburn
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
46%
23%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 6. · Blackburn 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 13 9 1 3 +16 28
2 Norwich 13 8 3 2 +8 27
3 Brighton 13 7 4 2 +8 25
4 Huddersfield 12 8 1 3 +4 25
5 Birmingham 14 6 5 3 +3 23
6 Bristol City 13 6 2 5 +5 20
7 Brentford 13 5 4 4 +7 19
8 QPR 13 5 4 4 -2 19
9 Reading 13 5 4 4 -4 19
10 Fulham 13 4 6 3 -1 18
11 Sheffield Weds 12 5 3 4 -1 18
12 Ipswich 13 4 5 4 +1 17
13 Burton Albion 14 4 5 5 +0 17
14 Preston 13 5 2 6 +0 17
15 Leeds 13 5 2 6 -2 17
16 Barnsley 13 5 1 7 +1 16
17 Wolves 13 4 4 5 +0 16
18 Nott'm Forest 13 4 3 6 -2 15
19 Aston Villa 13 2 8 3 -1 14
20 Derby 13 3 5 5 -3 14
21 Blackburn 13 3 3 7 -7 12
22 Cardiff 13 3 3 7 -10 12
23 Wigan 13 2 5 6 -2 11
24 Rotherham 13 1 3 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Blackburn
Aden Flint 🟨
17′
Jamie Paterson 🟨
20′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🔁 C. Mulgrew
↦ D. Williams
A. Wilbraham 🔁
↦ J. Paterson
68′
T. Moore 🔁
↦ A. Matthews
69′
J. Bryan 🔁
↦ L. Freeman
75′
79′
🔁 H. Akpan
↦ D. Guthrie
1–0 A. Wilbraham
L. Tomlin
88′
89′
🟨 Charlie Mulgrew
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
1 F. Fielding G
13 S. Golbourne D
27 A. Matthews D
4 A. Flint D
23 H. Magnússon D
6 G. O'Neil M
7 K. Smith M
10 L. Tomlin M
15 L. Freeman M
20 J. Paterson M
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (7)
18 A. Wilbraham
17 T. Moore
3 J. Bryan
2 M. Little
12 R. O'Donnell
16 G. Engvall
21 M. Pack

Coach: L. Johnson

Blackburn

4-4-2
1 J. Steele G
4 T. Hoban D
5 D. Williams D
32 C. Conway M
23 D. Guthrie M
10 B. Marshall M
29 C. Evans M
26 D. Lenihan D
6 J. Lowe M
17 M. Emnes F
19 S. Gallagher F
Bench (7)
14 C. Mulgrew
21 H. Akpan
7 L. Feeney
8 J. Byrne
11 M. Samuelsen
31 E. Bennett
33 David Raya

Coach: O. Coyle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.