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Championship
Referee: J Simpson
Swansea
U T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Blackburn
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Championship · 19/20 matches
Win Ø 44%
42%
45%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
53%
55%
Both score Ø 62%
63%
60%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Swansea 9. · Blackburn 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 21 14 4 3 +22 46
2 West Brom 20 13 6 1 +21 45
3 Bristol City 21 9 8 4 +4 35
4 Fulham 20 10 4 6 +10 34
5 Nott'm Forest 20 9 7 4 +10 34
6 Preston 21 10 4 7 +7 34
7 Sheffield Weds 20 9 5 6 +9 32
8 Cardiff 19 8 6 5 +3 30
9 Swansea 19 8 6 5 +3 30
10 Blackburn 20 9 3 8 +0 30
11 Millwall 21 7 9 5 -1 30
12 Hull 21 8 5 8 +3 29
13 Birmingham 20 8 4 8 -4 28
14 QPR 20 8 4 8 -7 28
15 Brentford 19 8 3 8 +11 27
16 Derby 20 6 7 7 -6 25
17 Charlton 21 6 5 10 -2 23
18 Reading 19 6 3 10 -2 21
19 Huddersfield 21 5 6 10 -10 21
20 Middlesbrough 21 4 9 8 -10 21
21 Luton 21 6 2 13 -17 20
22 Stoke 21 5 2 14 -11 17
23 Wigan 20 4 4 12 -15 16
24 Barnsley 20 2 6 12 -18 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Blackburn
4′
D. Graham 0–1
A. Armstrong
8′
🟨 Bradley Dack
1–1 A. Ayew
M. Grimes
10′
Tom Carroll 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–1
56′
🔁 E. Bennett
↦ J. Rothwell
Tom Carroll 🟨
57′
Tom Carroll 🟥
57′
65′
🔁 L. Holtby
↦ C. Evans
67′
🟨 Bradley Dack
67′
🟥 Bradley Dack
72′
🔁 S. Gallagher
↦ D. Graham
A. Kalulu 🔁
↦ B. Celina
79′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Swansea

4-3-3
27 F. Woodman G
24 J. Bidwell D
5 M. van der Hoorn D
44 B. Cabango D
14 T. Carroll M
28 G. Byers M
8 M. Grimes M
23 C. Roberts D
22 A. Ayew F
10 B. Celina F
19 S. Surridge F
Bench (7)
18 A. Kalulu
26 K. Naughton
20 B. Wilmot
9 Borja Bastón
6 J. Fulton
7 B. McKay
1 K. Nordfeldt

Coach: S. Cooper

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 C. Walton G
26 D. Lenihan D
24 T. Adarabioyo D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe D
19 S. Downing D
29 C. Evans M
8 J. Rothwell M
23 B. Dack M
10 D. Graham F
7 A. Armstrong M
Bench (7)
31 E. Bennett
22 L. Holtby
9 S. Gallagher
20 B. Brereton
4 B. Johnson
13 J. Leutwiler
39 J. Buckley

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U ✓
3,43
B
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Simpson · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.